Match Info

Serie B - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Empoli		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.82	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.95
	2.48	3.05	2.82	Watch
	2.67	3.15	2.96
	2.41	3.25	2.93	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.8
	2.61	3.11	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.33)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	2.88 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Empoli
37.4%

Draw
30.1%

Cesena
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.1%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

26.5%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	41.7%	8.3%

Empoli - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Cesena will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Empoli (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Fulignati A. (G) 34. Guarino G. 20. Lovato M. 5. Obaretin N. 24. Ebuehi T. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 32. Haas N. (C) 25. Ignacchiti L. 27. Moruzzi B. 11. Shpendi S. 19. Nasti M.	33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 26. Piacentini M. 11. Ciervo R. 70. Francesconi M. 4. Castagnetti M. 25. Bisoli D. 99. Frabotta G. 7. Cerri A. 9. Shpendi C.
Substitutes
99. Bianchi F. 26. Candela A. 2. Curto M. 17. Fila D. 12. Gasparini M. (G) 10. Ilie R. 28. Indragoli G. 1. Perisan S. (G) 77. Popov B. 4. Romagnoli S. 70. Saporiti E. 14. Yepes G.	16. Amoran P. 10. Bastoni S. 14. Berti T. 27. Corazza T. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 18. Guidi M. 24. Mangraviti M. 32. Olivieri M. 1. Siano A. (G) 22. Vrioni G. 17. Wade I. 35. Zamagni D.
Coaches
Dionisi A.	Mignani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Shpendi C. ⚽, Cerri A. (A),
41', Cerri A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ignacchiti L. ↓, Saporiti E. ↑,
59', Nasti M. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
60', Haas N. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
61', Cerri A. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Fila D. ⚽, Shpendi S. (A),
73', Ebuehi T. ↓, Candela A. ↑,
77', Bisoli D. ↓, Berti T. ↑,
77', Shpendi C. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
77', Ciofi A. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
83', Ciervo R. ↓, Amoran P. ↑,
87', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Yepes G. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 4.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Cesena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Empoli: Elia S. (Yellow Cards) Ghion A. (Inactive) Magnino L. (Yellow Cards) Pellegri P. (Injury)

There will not play in Cesena: Castrovilli G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Empoli: Ebuehi T. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cesena	6	1	4	1	7:8	-1	7
13	Empoli	6	2	0	4	6:10	-4	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
20.02.26	Frosinone - Empoli	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Empoli - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Empoli - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Palermo - Empoli	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Empoli - Modena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLLT
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
21.02.26	Cesena - Spezia	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Cesena - Venezia	0:4 ✺
10.02.26	Virtus Entella - Cesena	3:1 ✺
06.02.26	Cesena - Pescara	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Avellino - Cesena	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.01.26	Cesena - Empoli	0:1
17.04.18	Cesena - Empoli	2:3
18.11.17	Empoli - Cesena	5:3
Coppa Italia
29.11.16	Empoli - Cesena	1:2 ET
Italian Serie A
08.02.15	Empoli - Cesena	2:0
20.09.14	Cesena - Empoli	2:2
Italian Serie B
13.05.14	Cesena - Empoli	1:0

Upcoming Matches