Match Info

Serie B - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: U-Power Stadium (Brianteo) (Monza)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Monza		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.61	4	5
	1.85	3.15	4.35	Watch
	1.96	3.23	4.78
	1.95	3.07	4.69	Watch
	1.91	3	4.2
	1.95	3.32	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.59)	3.27 ↓ (4.07)	4.57 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
50.5%

Draw
28.9%

Juve Stabia
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

23%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.3%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monza's form might have worsened.

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Monza - Juve Stabia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - Monza (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 19. Birindelli S. 15. Delli Carri F. 44. Carboni A. 24. Bakoune A. 21. Colombo L. 32. Pessina M. (C) 7. Azzi P. 28. Colpani A. 47. Mota D. 37. Petagna A.	1. Confente A. (G) 14. Dalle Mura C. 33. Giorgini A. 6. Bellich M. (C) 24. Carissoni L. 98. Mosti N. 55. Leone G. 29. Correia O. 77. Cacciamani A. 37. Maistro F. 90. Okoro A.
Substitutes
25. Alvarez A. 6. Antov V. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 30. Caso G. 26. Ciurria P. 10. Cutrone P. 8. Hernani 3. Lucchesi L. 14. Obiang P. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 13. Ravanelli L.	23. Boer P. (G) 7. Burnete R. 27. Candellone L. 17. Ciammaglichella A. 9. Gabrielloni A. 21. Kassama S. 76. Mannini M. 10. Pierobon C. 2. Ricciardi M. 28. Torrasi E. 13. Varnier M. 8. Zeroli K.
Coaches
Bianco P.	Abate I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Mota D. 🟨,
42', Delli Carri F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Maistro F. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
46', Mosti N. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
56', Delli Carri F. ↓, Lucchesi L. ↑,
57', Petagna A. ↓, Cutrone P. ↑,
57', Colpani A. ↓, Hernani ↑,
64', Leone G. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
65', Carissoni L. ↓, Pierobon C. ↑,
71', Thiam D. 🟨,
77', Mota D. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
80', Burnete R. 🟨,
81', Dalle Mura C. ↓, Gabrielloni A. ↑,
84', Azzi P. ↓, Ravanelli L. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Cutrone P. ⚽, Bakoune A. (A),
87', Correia O. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Burnete R. ⚽, Gabrielloni A. (A),
90+3', Bellich M. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, Cutrone P. ⚽, Colombo L. (A),

Preview

First leg result: 2-2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Monza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Monza is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Monza: Balde K. (Coach's decision)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Monza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
16.05.26	Juve Stabia - Monza	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Monza - Empoli	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Mantova - Monza	3:2 ✺
24.04.26	Monza - Modena	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Sampdoria - Monza	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLWW
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
16.05.26	Juve Stabia - Monza	2:2 ✺
12.05.26	Modena - Juve Stabia	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Juve Stabia - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Pescara - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.05.26	Juve Stabia - Monza	2:2
15.02.26	Monza - Juve Stabia	2:1
30.11.25	Juve Stabia - Monza	2:2

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