Match Info

Serie B - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Carrarese		Monza

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	1.96	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.98
	3.6	3.2	2.02	Watch
	3.77	3.43	2.06
	3.8	3.28	2.02	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.05
	4.01	3.35	1.98	Watch
	3.6	3.33	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (3.79)	3.3 ↑ (3.22)	2.02 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
25.2%

Draw
28.4%

Monza
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

28.7%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

27.5%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Carrarese - Monza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Carrarese (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monza will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 50%). Monza (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 6. Oliana F. 4. Illanes J. (C) 17. Zuelli E. 72. Zanon S. 77. Parlanti G. 70. Hasa L. 73. Rouhi J. 9. Abiuso F. 32. Finotto M.	20. Thiam D. (G) 19. Birindelli S. 15. Delli Carri F. 3. Lucchesi L. 26. Ciurria P. 14. Obiang P. 32. Pessina M. (C) 8. Hernani 7. Azzi P. 10. Cutrone P. 47. Mota D.
Substitutes
7. Belloni N. 28. Di Stefano F. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 12. Garofani G. (G) 78. Guercio T. 3. Imperiale M. 25. Lordkipanidze D. 8. Melegoni F. 21. Rubino T. 26. Ruggeri F. 44. Sekulov N. 92. Torregrossa E.	25. Alvarez A. 24. Bakoune A. 17. Balde K. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 44. Carboni A. 30. Caso G. 21. Colombo L. 28. Colpani A. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 43. Strajnar A. (G)
Coaches
Calabro A.	Bianco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Delli Carri F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Hernani ⚽,
56', Parlanti G. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
56', Zanon S. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
67', Mota D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
67', Obiang P. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
68', Ciurria P. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
73', Finotto M. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
79', Calabro A. 🟨,
81', Calabrese N. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
81', Hasa L. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
85', Delli Carri F. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Carrarese is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monza is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Monza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F. (Inactive) Bouah D. (Inactive) Salamon B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Galazzi N. (Inactive) Maric M. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
14.02.26	Modena - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Padova - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Venezia - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Carrarese - Empoli	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLW
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
15.02.26	Monza - Juve Stabia	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Monza	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Monza - Avellino	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Padova - Monza	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Monza - Pescara	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
20.12.25	Monza - Carrarese	4:1
Italian Serie C Group A
09.11.19	Monza - Carrarese	2:2
04.02.18	Carrarese - Monza	1:0
24.09.17	Monza - Carrarese	4:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
06.08.17	Monza - Carrarese	0:0

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