Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Châteauroux		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	2	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.1
	3.6	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.96
	3.8	3.54	2.04
	3.7	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.76	3.4	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.45)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	2.03 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
25.7%

Draw
28.1%

Toulouse
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

28.9%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

21.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Châteauroux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	18.5%	66.7%

Châteauroux - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Toulouse will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 6).

Châteauroux has a chance of relegated (46%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Toulouse has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (44%), has a chance of win league (20%).

Châteauroux is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Toulouse is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Toulouse will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 2
05.12.20	Dunkerque - Châteauroux	2:0 ✺
01.12.20	Châteauroux - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
28.11.20	Caen - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
21.11.20	Châteauroux - Sochaux	2:1 ✺
07.11.20	Châteauroux - Pau	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTWL
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 2
05.12.20	Toulouse - Guingamp	2:2 ✺
01.12.20	Nancy - Toulouse	1:3 ✺
28.11.20	Toulouse - Niort	2:1 ✺
21.11.20	Chambly - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
07.11.20	Toulouse - Valenciennes	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWTL

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