Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday


	Toulouse		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	11	Watch
	1.36	4.5	8
	1.36	4.5	8	Watch
	1.33	4.9	7.4
	1.38	5.04	8.71
	1.33	4.6	9	Watch
	1.36	5.2	8.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.44)	4.82 ↑ (4.31)	8.62 ↑ (6.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
69.6%

Draw
19.5%

Valenciennes
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

21.7%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.1%

18.3%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toulouse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Toulouse - Valenciennes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 15).

Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (52.35%), has project points - 79, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (77%), has a good chance of win league (52%).

Valenciennes has the most likely position - 20 (11.49%), has project points - 41, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Toulouse in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Valenciennes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Toulouse is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Toulouse to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 2
21.08.21	Dijon - Toulouse	2:4 ✺
14.08.21	Toulouse - Bastia	1:0 ✺
07.08.21	Pau - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
31.07.21	Nancy - Toulouse	0:4 ✺
24.07.21	Toulouse - Ajaccio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWT
- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
21.08.21	Valenciennes - Rodez	1:4 ✺
14.08.21	Nancy - Valenciennes	0:1 ✺
07.08.21	Valenciennes - Nîmes	0:3 ✺
31.07.21	Guingamp - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
24.07.21	Valenciennes - Niort	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.03.21	Valenciennes - Toulouse	1:0
07.11.20	Toulouse - Valenciennes	4:5
French Ligue 1
17.05.14	Toulouse - Valenciennes	3:1
10.08.13	Valenciennes - Toulouse	3:0
23.02.13	Valenciennes - Toulouse	0:0
06.10.12	Toulouse - Valenciennes	2:2
07.04.12	Valenciennes - Toulouse	2:0

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