Match Info

Date: 7 November 2020, Saturday


	Châteauroux		Pau

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.75
	2.6	2.95	2.85	Watch
	2.65	2.9	2.7
	2.83	3.04	2.85
	2.8	2.9	2.8	Watch
	2.79	2.96	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.64)	2.95 ↓ (3.01)	2.76 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
34.4%

Draw
31.7%

Pau
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30.9%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

21.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Châteauroux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44%	48%	8%

Châteauroux - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 11 - 44%). Pau will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Châteauroux has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Pau has a chance of relegated (37%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Châteauroux is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Châteauroux won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 2
31.10.20	Nancy - Châteauroux	2:1 ✺
24.10.20	Châteauroux - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
17.10.20	Le Havre - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
03.10.20	Châteauroux - Niort	2:0 ✺
26.09.20	Chambly - Châteauroux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTWL
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
31.10.20	Le Havre - Pau	1:0 ✺
24.10.20	Pau - Niort	4:1 ✺
17.10.20	Paris FC - Pau	1:0 ✺
03.10.20	Pau - Nancy	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Amiens - Pau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
08.12.18	Châteauroux - Pau	4:0
French Ligue 3
05.05.17	Châteauroux - Pau	1:0
Coupe De France
08.01.17	Châteauroux - Pau	4:1
French Ligue 3
14.12.16	Pau - Châteauroux	1:1

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