Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday


	Chacaritas		Libertad Loja

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.95	1.9
	3.85	2.95	1.95
	4.32	3.17	1.9
	2.8	2.75	2.5
	4.6	2.73	1.94
	4	3	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (2.2)	2.93 ↑ (2.69)	2.02 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chacaritas
23.4%

Draw
31.3%

Libertad Loja
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

33.7%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

34.4%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chacaritas's form might have worsened.

Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Libertad Loja's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chacaritas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Libertad Loja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	13.6%	81.8%

Chacaritas - Libertad Loja Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Chacaritas will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Libertad will win (votes: 18 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 65.7% – 97.9%.

#ad

Preview

Chacaritas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Libertad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chacaritas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chacaritas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chacaritas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Chacaritas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
19.10.22	Manta - Chacaritas	3:1 ✺
12.10.22	Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors	0:1 ✺
06.10.22	Búhos ULVR - Chacaritas	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Chacaritas - Atlético Santo Domingo	3:0 ✺
27.09.22	Olmedo - Chacaritas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTWL
- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Serie B
20.10.22	El Nacional - Libertad Loja	4:2 ✺
17.10.22	Libertad Loja - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
13.10.22	Libertad Loja - Manta	0:0 ✺
05.10.22	Independiente Juniors - Libertad Loja	0:1 ✺
02.10.22	Libertad Loja - América de Quito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
14.09.22	Libertad Loja - Chacaritas	1:0
11.05.22	Chacaritas - Libertad Loja	1:0
23.03.22	Libertad Loja - Chacaritas	5:1

Chacaritas - Libertad Loja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide