Match Info

Date: 30 January 2021, Saturday


	Chambly		Caen

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.1	2.87	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.7
	2.7	2.88	2.85	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.8
	2.73	3	3
	2.62	3	2.88	Watch
	2.6	3.18	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.83)	3 ↓ (3.01)	2.85 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chambly
35.5%

Draw
31.4%

Caen
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

31.2%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

22%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chambly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chambly than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chambly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chambly - Caen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 10).

Chambly has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Caen has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Chambly is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Caen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chambly won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Chambly won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chambly
French Ligue 2
27.01.21	Chambly - Niort	1:1 ✺
23.01.21	Grenoble - Chambly	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
19.01.21	Valenciennes - Chambly	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
08.01.21	Pau - Chambly	1:3 ✺
05.01.21	Chambly - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLWL
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
23.01.21	Caen - Rodez	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
20.01.21	Guingamp - Caen	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
16.01.21	Ajaccio - Caen	1:0 ✺
11.01.21	Caen - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
05.01.21	Auxerre - Caen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
19.09.20	Caen - Chambly	0:0
31.01.20	Chambly - Caen	0:1
16.08.19	Caen - Chambly	0:0

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