Match Info

Date: 8 May 2021, Saturday


	Chambly		Pau

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.37	Watch
	3	3	2.4
	3.1	3	2.4	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.33
	3.15	3.28	2.43
	3	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.96	3.28	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.87)	3.11 ↑ (3.08)	2.41 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chambly
30.7%

Draw
30.2%

Pau
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

30.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

22.5%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chambly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chambly than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chambly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	50%	29.2%

Chambly - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Chambly will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Pau will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30% – 70%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Chambly has the most likely position - 19 (87.59%), has project points - 37, has currently - 35, has a good chance of relegated (92%), has not chance of promoted.

Pau has the most likely position - 14 (18.92%), has project points - 44, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has not chance of promoted.

Recent matches Chambly is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pau is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Chambly won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Chambly won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chambly
French Ligue 2
01.05.21	Le Havre - Chambly	2:4 ✺
24.04.21	Chambly - Nancy	1:1 ✺
20.04.21	Guingamp - Chambly	1:0 ✺
17.04.21	Chambly - Amiens	2:0 ✺
10.04.21	Valenciennes - Chambly	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTLWL
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
01.05.21	Pau - Ajaccio	0:0 ✺
20.04.21	Pau - Auxerre	3:0 ✺
17.04.21	Sochaux - Pau	1:1 ✺
10.04.21	Pau - Clermont	2:1 ✺
03.04.21	Caen - Pau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.01.21	Pau - Chambly	1:3
French Ligue 3
11.01.19	Chambly - Pau	1:0
09.10.18	Pau - Chambly	2:0
16.03.18	Pau - Chambly	0:1
13.10.17	Chambly - Pau	3:2
27.04.17	Pau - Chambly	1:1
09.12.16	Chambly - Pau	0:0

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