Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Pau		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.7	5	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.8
	1.65	3.7	4.75
	1.65	3.94	5.41
	1.00	16.48	30.00	Watch
	1.68	3.94	4.6	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.84)	5.63 ↑ (3.45)	8.48 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
68.4%

Draw
19%

Clermont
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27.4%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pau's performance.

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Clermont might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Clermont could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	4.5%	0%

Pau - Clermont Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

EH -1 - Clermont (10.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Clermont (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Pau (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pau will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pau will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Clermont (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Raveyre N. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 23. Briancon A. 25. Ruiz J. (C) 3. Kalulu J. 10. Versini G. 97. Meddah D. 21. Beusnard S. 84. Touzghar R. 18. Sadik O. 9. Dong K.	30. Guivarch T. (G) 15. Konate C. O. 5. Caufriez M. 28. M'Bahia I. 97. Boto K. 10. Saivet H. 25. Gastien J. (C) 7. Camblan A. 32. Bamba K. 8. Bellache Y. 94. Socka Bongue L.
Substitutes
11. Gasnier K. 26. Glossoa N. 19. Kante 4. Karamoko S. 30. Salles E. (G) 17. Sissoko O. 87. Zuliani E.	44. Ackra A. 2. Baallal A. 6. Berkani S. 93. Coulibaly I. 29. Fakili I. 1. N'Diaye M. (G) 9. Said A.
Coaches
Usai N.	Proment G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Sadik O. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Versini G. ⚽, Touzghar R. (A),
33', 3 - 0, Versini G. ⚽, Beusnard S. (A),
43', Beusnard S. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bellache Y. ↓, Ackra A. ↑,
46', Boto K. ↓, Coulibaly I. ↑,
67', Gastien J. ↓, Baallal A. ↑,
68', Sadik O. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
68', Pouilly T. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
74', Socka Bongue L. ↓, Fakili I. ↑,
77', Kalulu J. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
77', Versini G. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Bamba K. ⚽, Baallal A. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 10).

Pau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Clermont's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Pau is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Pau: Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Lebouath S. (Inactive) Messi R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Clermont: Astic J. (Injury) Diedhiou F. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Knee Injury) Hunou A. (Inactive) Salmier Y. (Red Card)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pau won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
26.09.25	Rodez - Pau	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Pau - Laval	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Boulogne - Pau	0:3 ✺
12.09.25	Pau - Red Star	0:3 ✺
29.08.25	Nancy - Pau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWWLT
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
26.09.25	Clermont - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Reims - Clermont	4:1 ✺
19.09.25	Rodez - Clermont	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Clermont - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Laval - Clermont	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
11.04.25	Pau - Clermont	2:2
16.08.24	Clermont - Pau	2:2
10.04.21	Pau - Clermont	2:1
05.12.20	Clermont - Pau	3:0

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