Match Info

Date: 3 January 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Chapecoense		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.6	Watch
	1.76	3.1	5
	1.82	3.25	5.44
	1.75	3.1	5.25
	1.79	3.28	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.66)	3.22 ↓ (3.29)	4.96 ↓ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
52.5%

Draw
28.8%

Brasil de Pelotas
18.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

28%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

16.5%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chapecoense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasil de Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chapecoense - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 10).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Chapecoense is a favorite.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
28.12.20	Chapecoense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
20.12.20	América Mineiro - Chapecoense	2:2 ✺
16.12.20	Chapecoense - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
12.12.20	Chapecoense - CRB Maceio	3:2 ✺
08.12.20	Avaí - Chapecoense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTTWW
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
28.12.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Confiança	1:0 ✺
21.12.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1 ✺
16.12.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
13.12.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Guaraní Asuncion	3:1 ✺
10.12.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Chapecoense	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie A
03.11.26	Chapecoense - Mirassol	✺
28.10.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Chapecoense	✺
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
01.11.26	Passo Fundo - Brasil de Pelotas	✺
28.10.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Passo Fundo	✺

Chapecoense - Brasil de Pelotas