Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 21

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Lisle Carr Oval (Lake Macquarie)


	Charlestown Azzurri		Maitland

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.5	1.6	Watch
	4.20	4.20	1.62
	4.30	4.20	1.52
	4.92	4.51	1.55
	4.87	4.92	1.5
	4.8	4.4	1.43
	4.31	4.25	1.58	Watch
	3.85	4.3	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (3.2)	4.41 ↑ (3.75)	1.56 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Charlestown Azzurri
20.8%

Draw
20.7%

Maitland
58.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.8%

23.8%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

23.2%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlestown Azzurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlestown Azzurri's form might have worsened.

Maitland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maitland's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlestown Azzurri than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlestown Azzurri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maitland than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maitland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Charlestown Azzurri - Maitland Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlestown Azzurri (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlestown Azzurri won 2.

Charlestown Azzurri has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Maitland has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Maitland has had a series of home games.

In this match, Maitland is considered a favorite.

We predict that Maitland will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charlestown Azzurri won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:41. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlestown Azzurri won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Charlestown Azzurri - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 27.84%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlestown Azzurri
Australian NPL Northern NSW
25.07.26	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	1:0 ✺
15.07.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Weston Bears	0:5 ✺
11.07.26	Cooks Hill United - Charlestown Azzurri	4:0 ✺
01.07.26	Newcastle Olympic - Charlestown Azzurri	7:1 ✺
27.06.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Belmont Swansea United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Maitland FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
25.07.26	Maitland - Broadmeadow Magic	0:1 ✺
Australian Cup
22.07.26	Maitland - Fremantle City	1:2 ✺
Australian NPL Northern NSW
18.07.26	Lambton Jaffas - Maitland	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Maitland - Adamstown Rosebud	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Maitland - Newcastle Olympic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
02.05.26	Maitland - Charlestown Azzurri	2:3
12.07.25	Maitland - Charlestown Azzurri	3:1
13.04.25	Charlestown Azzurri - Maitland	1:2
11.08.24	Charlestown Azzurri - Maitland	1:0
29.05.24	Maitland - Charlestown Azzurri	2:2
04.06.23	Charlestown Azzurri - Maitland	1:2
18.03.23	Maitland - Charlestown Azzurri	1:2

Charlestown Azzurri - Maitland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide