Match Info

MLS

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Referee: Fischer D. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Charlotte		Philadelphia Union

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.28	3.55	3.05	Watch
	2.29	3.65	3.16
	2.2	3.63	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3
	2.28	3.65	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.13)	3.58 ↑ (3.57)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte
42.6%

Draw
26.6%

Philadelphia Union
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

26.4%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26.7%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Charlotte - Philadelphia Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kahlina K. (G) 14. Byrne N. 44. Agyemang M. 3. Ream T. 15. Toffolo H. 8. Westwood A. (C) 28. Diani D. 18. Calderon Vargas K. A. 16. Biel P. 10. Zaha W. 9. Toklomati I.	18. Blake A. (C) 26. Harriel N. 5. Sery Larsen J. 29. Makhanya O. 39. Westfield F. 21. Jean Jacques D. 4. Lukic J. 23. Alladoh E. 10. Iloski M. 19. Vassilev I. 9. Damiani B.
Substitutes
11. Abada L. 13. Bronico B. 17. de la Torre L. 7. Goodwin A. 48. John A. 21. Miller T. (G) 4. Privett A. 23. Schnegg D. 25. Smalls T.	11. Bedoya A. 16. Bender B. 8. Bueno J. 51. Jakupovic M. 37. Korzeniowski S. 2. Martinez G. 20. Ndinga P. 76. Rick A. (G) 6. Sullivan C.
Coaches
Smith D.	Carnell B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Westfield F. 🟨,
19', Diani D. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Westwood A. ⚽, Toklomati I. (A),
42', Zaha W. 🟨,
45+2', Damiani B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', Alladoh E. ↓, Bueno J. ↑,
65', Calderon Vargas K. A. ↓, Abada L. ↑,
65', Diani D. ↓, de la Torre L. ↑,
76', Harriel N. 🟨,
77', Vassilev I. ↓, Sullivan C. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Jean Jacques D. ⚽, Sullivan C. (A),
80', 2 - 1, Zaha W. ⚽, Biel P. (A),
83', Agyemang M. 🟨,
83', Damiani B. ↓, Jakupovic M. ↑,
84', Iloski M. ↓, Korzeniowski S. ↑,
84', Sery Larsen J. ↓, Ndinga P. ↑,
87', Kahlina K. 🟨,
90', Biel P. ↓, Bronico B. ↑,
90', Toklomati I. ↓, Goodwin A. ↑,
90+1', Sullivan C. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 2.

Charlotte has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Philadelphia has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Charlotte could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Outrights of MLS for now

Philadelphia Union: 2.36%

Last Results with these Odds

Charlotte - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 44.24%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte FC
MLS
21.03.26	Charlotte - New York Red Bulls	6:1 ✺
14.03.26	Charlotte - Inter Miami	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Charlotte - Austin FC	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Charlotte	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	St. Louis City - Charlotte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTWLT
- Philadelphia Union
MLS
21.03.26	Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.03.26	Club América - Philadelphia Union	1:1 ✺
MLS
14.03.26	Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
10.03.26	Philadelphia Union - Club América	0:1 ✺
MLS
07.03.26	Philadelphia Union - San Jose Earthquakes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
18.10.25	Charlotte - Philadelphia Union	2:0
14.06.25	Philadelphia Union - Charlotte	2:1
CONCACAF League Cup
27.07.24	Philadelphia Union - Charlotte	1:0
MLS
22.06.24	Philadelphia Union - Charlotte	0:2
25.05.24	Charlotte - Philadelphia Union	0:0
20.09.23	Charlotte - Philadelphia Union	2:2
31.05.23	Philadelphia Union - Charlotte	1:0

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