The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club América 65.5%
Draw 20.2%
Philadelphia Union 14.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.7%
19%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.5%
18%
10.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Club América - Philadelphia Union Predictions
Users Predictions:
Club América will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cota R. (G) 18. Mejia A. 3. Reyes I. 4. Caceres S. 26. Borja C. 17. Rodrigo Dourado 10. Zendejas A. (C) 28. Sanchez E. 7. Rodriguez B. 23. Raphael Veiga 33. Salas P.
76. Rick A. (G) 26. Harriel N. (C) 2. Martinez G. 29. Makhanya O. 5. Sery Larsen J. 6. Sullivan C. 4. Lukic J. 10. Iloski M. 8. Bueno J. 19. Vassilev I. 37. Korzeniowski S.
Substitutes
5. Alvarez K. 14. Araujo N. 13. Cervantes A. 6. dos Santos J. 22. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 29. Juarez R. 45. Lima 37. Lugo C. (G) 21. Tapia F. (G) 32. Vazquez M. 19. Zuniga J.
11. Bedoya A. 16. Bender B. 18. Blake A. (G) 9. Damiani B. 51. Jakupovic M. 21. Jean Jacques D. 31. Marks G. (G) 20. Ndinga P. 14. Rafanello J. 38. Sequera G. 66. Sundstrom F. 39. Westfield F.
Coaches
Jardine A.
Carnell B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Dourado ⚽, Raphael Veiga (A),
29', Caceres S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Korzeniowski S. ↓, Damiani B. ↑,
46', Caceres S. ↓, Juarez R. ↑,
46', Martinez G. ↓, Westfield F. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Bueno J. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Sullivan C. ↓, Jean Jacques D. ↑,
71', Rodriguez B. ↓, Lima ↑,
71', Salas P. ↓, Zuniga J. ↑,
72', Zendejas A. ↓, Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↑,
83', Ndinga P. 🟨,
85', Raphael Veiga ↓, dos Santos J. ↑,
Preview
First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
América has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Philadelphia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
In this match, América is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, América won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).
Including home match between the teams, América won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.