Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 2 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: The Valley (London)


	Charlton Athletic		Brighton & Hove Albion U21

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	5.25
	1.48	4.4	4.9
	1.43	4.5	5.6
	1.48	4.87	5.75
	1.55	3.75	5
	1.44	4.45	5.7
	1.44	4.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.77)	4.41 ↑ (3.8)	5.4 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
62.4%

Draw
20.7%

Brighton & Hove Albion U21
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

23.9%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

23.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlton Athletic's performance.

Brighton & Hove Albion U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brighton & Hove Albion U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlton Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion U21 than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brighton & Hove Albion U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Charlton Athletic - Brighton & Hove Albion U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: Charlton Athletic will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Charlton is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Brighton & Hove U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brighton & Hove U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Charlton have a series of home games.

In this match Charlton is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Charlton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
29.10.22	Charlton Athletic - Ipswich Town	4:4 ✺
25.10.22	Charlton Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
22.10.22	Shrewsbury Town - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
17.10.22	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	3:0 ✺
11.10.22	Charlton Athletic - Exeter City	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLWWW
- Brighton & Hove Albion U21
English Premier League 2
30.10.22	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Chelsea U21	2:2 ✺
22.10.22	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - West Ham United U21	3:2 ✺
08.10.22	Manchester United U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	3:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.10.22	Gillingham - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	3:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
30.09.22	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
30.09.20	Charlton Athletic - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	2:1 penalties

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