Match Info

Championship - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Charlton Athletic		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.20	2.25	Watch
	3.00	3.40	2.30
	3.15	3.25	2.23	Watch
	3.23	3.36	2.39
	3.02	3.41	2.34	Watch
	3.15	3.30	2.35
	3.35	3.29	2.28	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (3)	3.31 ↓ (3.39)	2.31 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
30.3%

Draw
28.6%

Bristol City
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

27.9%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

27.6%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Bristol City aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Charlton Athletic - Bristol City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Bristol City will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Okonkwo A. (G) 20. McNamara D. 5. Jones L. (C) 12. Koumetio B. 3. Edwards J. 6. Coventry C. 34. Skipp O. 9. Grant K. 33. Mbick M. 7. Campbell T. 11. Leaburn M.	1. Tickle S. (G) 19. Tanner G. 15. McNally L. 5. Atkinson R. 21. Cardines R. 4. Randell A. 6. De Keersmaecker B. 7. Hirakawa Y. 12. Knight J. (C) 10. Twine S. 23. Ballard D.
Substitutes
19. Alli M. 17. Bell A. 14. Carey S. 23. Kelman C. 8. Knibbs H. 25. Mannion W. (G) 18. Mesik I. 2. Ramsay K. 26. Rankin-Costello J.	45. Adebayo E. 11. Bell S. 40. Collins B. (G) 2. Eissat L. 20. Greenwood S. 14. Horvat T. 3. Pring C. 17. Wallace J. 27. Yah G.
Coaches
Jones N.	Skubala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Grant K. ⚽, Campbell T. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Twine S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Mbick M. ↓, Ramsay K. ↑,
53', Edwards J. ↓, Mesik I. ↑,
65', Hirakawa Y. ↓, Pring C. ↑,
65', De Keersmaecker B. ↓, Greenwood S. ↑,
69', Koumetio B. 🟨,
77', Leaburn M. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
77', Grant K. ↓, Knibbs H. ↑,
78', Randell A. ↓, Yah G. ↑,
78', Twine S. ↓, Adebayo E. ↑,
89', Campbell T. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
90+2', Mesik I. 🟨,
90+2', Adebayo E. 🟨,
90+3', Ballard D. ↓, Bell S. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 9th and 8th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 1.

Charlton is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Bristol City have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Charlton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bristol City holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Charlton has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:9 (averaging 1.5:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Charlton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Bristol City: 2.86% Charlton: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	12:13	-1	14
11	Charlton	9	3	4	2	8:11	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Charlton Athletic - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.52%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Bristol City - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.58%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
19.09.26	Cardiff City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Charlton Athletic - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Stoke City - Charlton Athletic	4:0 ✺
02.09.26	West Bromwich Albion - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTLT
- Bristol City
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Crystal Palace - Bristol City	0:2 ✺
English League Championship
18.09.26	Bristol City - Watford	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Bristol City - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Southampton - Bristol City	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Burnley - Bristol City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
03.04.26	Charlton Athletic - Bristol City	1:2
16.08.25	Bristol City - Charlton Athletic	0:0
26.12.19	Charlton Athletic - Bristol City	3:2
23.10.19	Bristol City - Charlton Athletic	2:1
06.02.16	Charlton Athletic - Bristol City	0:1
26.12.15	Bristol City - Charlton Athletic	1:1
04.05.13	Charlton Athletic - Bristol City	4:1

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