Match Info

Championship - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Deepdale (Preston)

Referee: Linington J. (Eng)


	Preston North End		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.55	3	3
	2.57	3.06	2.96
	2.77	3.1	2.87
	2.92	2.30	3.49	Watch
	2.53	3.04	2.88	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.37)	2.97 ↓ (3.45)	2.99 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
36.1%

Draw
32%

Charlton Athletic
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

28.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Charlton Athletic aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	40%	13.3%

Preston North End - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Charlton will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Preston (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Preston (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Preston (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iversen D. (G) 14. Storey J. 19. Gibson L. 16. Hughes A. 3. Vukcevic A. 5. Armstrong H. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 8. McCann A. 26. Small T. 9. Jebbison D. 17. Dobbin L.	1. Kaminski T. (G) 28. Bree J. 32. Burke R. 5. Jones L. 3. Gillesphey M. 2. Ramsay K. 14. Carey S. 6. Coventry C. 10. Docherty G. (C) 23. Kelman C. 7. Campbell T.
Substitutes
21. Devine A. 10. Frokjaer-Jensen M. 30. Gryba G. 6. Lindsay L. 42. Offiah O. 28. Osmajic M. 24. Smith M. 22. Thordarson S. T. 12. Walton J. (G)	30. Apter R. 17. Bell A. 8. Berry L. 27. Hernandez O. 41. Knibbs H. 11. Leaburn M. 21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 22. Olaofe T. 26. Rankin-Costello J.
Coaches
Heckingbottom P.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Gillesphey M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Campbell T. ↓, Leaburn M. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Small T. ⚽, Dobbin L. (A),
69', Burke R. ↓, Bell A. ↑,
69', Kelman C. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
69', Carey S. ↓, Knibbs H. ↑,
76', Dobbin L. ↓, Devine A. ↑,
77', Vukcevic A. ↓, Lindsay L. ↑,
79', Coventry C. ↓, Berry L. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Jebbison D. ⚽, Devine A. (A),
81', Jebbison D. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
88', Small T. ↓, Offiah O. ↑,
90+6', Berry L. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 5.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Preston: Brady R. (Calf Injury) Keane W. (Muscle Injury) Potts B. (Muscle Injury) Thompson J. (Leg Injury) Valentin P. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Charlton: Godden M. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Charlton: Mannion W. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Preston won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
30.09.25	Hull City - Preston North End	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Preston North End - Bristol City	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Derby County - Preston North End	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Preston North End - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Portsmouth - Preston North End	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWTL
- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
30.09.25	Derby County - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Charlton Athletic - Blackburn Rovers	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Sheffield United - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Charlton Athletic - Millwall	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Queens Park Rangers - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.01.25	Preston North End - Charlton Athletic	2:1
English League Championship
18.01.20	Preston North End - Charlton Athletic	2:1
03.11.19	Charlton Athletic - Preston North End	0:1
23.02.16	Preston North End - Charlton Athletic	2:1
20.10.15	Charlton Athletic - Preston North End	0:3
English League One
28.04.12	Preston North End - Charlton Athletic	N/A

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