Match Info

Date: 31 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: The Valley (London)


	Charlton Athletic		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.23	3.15	3
	2.12	3.4	3
	2.22	3.34	3.17
	2.16	3.34	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.85)	3.29 ↑ (3.24)	3.04 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
42.2%

Draw
27.8%

Gillingham
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

27%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlton Athletic's form might have worsened.

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gillingham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlton Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gillingham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Charlton Athletic - Gillingham Predictions

Users Predictions: Charlton Athletic will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlton won 1.

Recent matches Charlton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gillingham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Charlton will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Charlton won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
27.08.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.08.22	Walsall - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
English League One
20.08.22	Charlton Athletic - Cambridge United	1:1 ✺
16.08.22	Charlton Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	5:1 ✺
13.08.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTWL
- Gillingham FC
English League Two
27.08.22	Carlisle United - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
23.08.22	Gillingham - Exeter City	1:0 penalties ✺
English League Two
20.08.22	Gillingham - Walsall	0:0 ✺
16.08.22	Gillingham - Harrogate Town	0:2 ✺
13.08.22	Tranmere Rovers - Gillingham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
15.03.22	Charlton Athletic - Gillingham	1:0
21.09.21	Gillingham - Charlton Athletic	1:1
13.02.21	Charlton Athletic - Gillingham	2:3
21.11.20	Gillingham - Charlton Athletic	1:1
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Gillingham - Charlton Athletic	3:1
English League One
27.04.19	Gillingham - Charlton Athletic	0:2
22.12.18	Charlton Athletic - Gillingham	2:0

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