Match Info

League One - Round 43

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Yates O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Charlton Athletic		Northampton Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6	Watch
	1.53	4	6
	1.53	4	6.5	Watch
	1.53	4.01	6.89
	1.54	3.84	6.38	Watch
	1.55	3.8	6
	1.54	4.05	6.45	Watch
	1.53	4	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)	3.96 ↑ (3.7)	6.34 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
61.4%

Draw
23.7%

Northampton Town
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

25.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

24.6%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlton Athletic's performance.

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Charlton Athletic - Northampton Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Charlton (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Charlton Athletic will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Charlton Athletic will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlton (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mannion W. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 5. Jones L. 15. McIntyre T. 16. Edwards J. 6. Coventry C. 10. Docherty G. (C) 26. Small T. 8. Berry L. 7. Campbell T. 24. Godden M.	1. Burge L. (G) 28. Eyoma T. 21. Mbete L. 22. Odimayo A. 24. Fosu T. 3. McGowan A. (C) 8. Perry B. 10. Pinnock M. 18. McGeehan C. 19. Roberts T. 15. Costelloe D.
Substitutes
9. Ahadme G. 18. Anderson K. 22. Aneke Ch. 17. Gilbert A. 21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 33. Mbick M. 27. Watson T.	26. Baldwin J. 36. Dadge J. (G) 35. Dyche M. 23. Hondermarck W. 2. Magloire T. 13. Tzanev N. (G) 11. Wilson J.
Coaches
Jones N.	Nolan K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Berry L. ⚽,
12', Coventry C. 🟨,
15', 1 - 1, Costelloe D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mbete L. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
54', McIntyre T. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
68', McGowan A. 🟨,
69', Docherty G. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
70', Odimayo A. ↓, Magloire T. ↑,
70', Fosu T. ↓, Hondermarck W. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Godden M. ⚽,
77', Gilbert A. 🟨,
83', Roberts T. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
85', Ramsay K. 🟨,
88', Godden M. ↓, Mbick M. ↑,
88', Berry L. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
89', Campbell T. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
90+4', Small T. 🟨,
90+6', Aneke Ch. 🟨,
90+6', McGeehan C. 🟨,
90+6', Dyche M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlton won 3.

Charlton is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Northampton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Charlton is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Charlton: Leaburn M. (Injury)

There will not play in Northampton: Brough P. (Broken Leg) Guinness-Walker N. (Red Card) Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Morton C. (Knee Injury) Sowerby J. (Knee Injury) Willis J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Charlton: Jones L. (Inactive) Kanu D. (Ankle Injury) Maynard-Brewer A. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Northampton: Hoskins S. (Injury) Magloire T. (Inactive) Perry B. (Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Charlton won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22:9 (average 2.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 2.3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Northampton Town - the odds 5.02 are the expected chance of winning is 18.72%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
12.04.25	Cambridge United - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Charlton Athletic - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
01.04.25	Mansfield Town - Charlton Athletic	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Charlton Athletic - Huddersfield Town	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Peterborough United - Charlton Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWWL
- Northampton Town
English League One
12.04.25	Northampton Town - Reading	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Peterborough United - Northampton Town	0:4 ✺
01.04.25	Northampton Town - Rotherham United	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Cambridge United - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Northampton Town - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.12.24	Northampton Town - Charlton Athletic	0:5
02.03.24	Northampton Town - Charlton Athletic	1:1
23.01.24	Charlton Athletic - Northampton Town	2:3
09.03.21	Charlton Athletic - Northampton Town	2:1
24.10.20	Northampton Town - Charlton Athletic	0:2
30.03.18	Northampton Town - Charlton Athletic	0:4
19.08.17	Charlton Athletic - Northampton Town	4:1

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