Match Info

League One - Round 41

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)


	Charlton Athletic		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	5.25	Watch
	1.71	3.5	5
	1.75	3.5	5	Watch
	1.73	3.32	5.4	Watch
	1.7	3.4	5
	1.76	3.42	5.2	Watch
	1.75	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.8)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	5.12 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
54.3%

Draw
27.4%

Lincoln City
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

26.9%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Charlton Athletic - Lincoln City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlton (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Lincoln (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Charlton Athletic will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mannion W. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 15. McIntyre T. 3. Gillesphey M. 16. Edwards J. 6. Coventry C. 10. Docherty G. (C) 26. Small T. 8. Berry L. 18. Anderson K. 24. Godden M.	1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. 22. Hamer T. 5. Jackson A. (C) 23. Roughan S. 11. Hamilton E. 14. McGrandles C. 27. Makama J. 12. Ring E. 18. House B. 25. Collins J.
Substitutes
9. Ahadme G. 22. Aneke Ch. 23. Bouzanis D. (G) 13. Dixon K. 17. Gilbert A. 4. Mitchell A. 27. Watson T.	8. Bayliss T. 34. Draper F. 32. Gardner J. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 31. Jeacock Z. (G) 16. Jefferies D. 4. Montsma L.
Coaches
Jones N.	Skubala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Collins J. ⚽, Ring E. (A),
25', Makama J. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Anderson K. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Collins J. ⚽, House B. (A),
52', Berry L. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
53', McIntyre T. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Gillesphey M. ⚽, Aneke Ch. (A),
63', Ring E. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
72', Wickens G. 🟨,
76', 2 - 2, Docherty G. ⚽,
78', Aneke Ch. 🟨,
83', House B. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
84', Collins J. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
84', Jefferies D. ↓, Montsma L. ↑,
89', Small T. ↓, Ahadme G. ↑,
90', Docherty G. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
90+2', McGrandles C. 🟨,
90+3', Jackson A. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlton won 1.

Charlton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lincoln is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Charlton is a favorite.

There will not play in Charlton: Kanu D. (Ankle Injury) Maynard-Brewer A. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Lincoln: Cadamarteri B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Charlton: Campbell T. (Injury) Leaburn M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lincoln: Erhahon E. (Inactive) Moylan J. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Charlton to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Charlton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
01.04.25	Mansfield Town - Charlton Athletic	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Charlton Athletic - Huddersfield Town	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Peterborough United - Charlton Athletic	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Charlton Athletic - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Crawley Town - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWW
- Lincoln City
English League One
01.04.25	Lincoln City - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Lincoln City - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers	5:0 ✺
08.03.25	Birmingham City - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
07.12.24	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	0:0
13.02.24	Charlton Athletic - Lincoln City	1:1
24.10.23	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	3:1
07.01.23	Charlton Athletic - Lincoln City	2:1
08.10.22	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	0:0
02.04.22	Charlton Athletic - Lincoln City	1:2
16.10.21	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	2:1

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