The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Charlton Athletic 35.1%
Draw 30.2%
Derby County 34.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
28.8%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
28.5%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Charlton Athletic - Derby County Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Derby will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Mannion W. (G) 20. McNamara D. 5. Jones L. (C) 12. Koumetio B. 17. Bell A. 6. Coventry C. 15. Chalobah N. 7. Campbell T. 14. Carey S. 9. Grant K. 24. Godden M.
1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 6. Langas S. 28. Sanderson D. 3. Forsyth C. 23. Ward J. 8. Clark B. 27. Travis L. (C) 29. Fraulo O. 18. Taylor C. 11. Szmodics S. 9. Morris C.
Substitutes
19. Alli M. 30. Apter R. 21. Brooks T. (G) 8. Knibbs H. 11. Leaburn M. 18. Mesik I. 32. Mwamba A. 26. Rankin-Costello J. 28. Sichenje C.
13. Bilbija F. 33. Blackett-Taylor C. 10. Brewster R. 37. Eames O. 22. Johnston M. 20. Mowatt A. 24. Nyambe R. 15. Salvesen L. 31. Vickers J. (G)
Coaches
Jones N.
Eustace J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Szmodics S. ⚽, Morris C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Szmodics S. ↓, Mowatt A. ↑,
59', Carey S. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
59', Godden M. ↓, Leaburn M. ↑,
60', Langas S. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Jones L. ⚽, Grant K. (A),
73', Grant K. ↓, Rankin-Costello J. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Campbell T. ⚽,
83', Fraulo O. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
83', Forsyth C. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
84', Ward J. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
84', Travis L. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
85', Chalobah N. ↓, Sichenje C. ↑,
85', McNamara D. ↓, Mesik I. ↑,
90', Mowatt A. 🟨,
90+8', Brewster R. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 1.
In recent matches, Charlton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Derby's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Derby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J.
(Ankle Injury)
Kelman C.
(Injury)
Ramsay K.
(Injury)
There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Brewster R.
(Knee Injury)
Murkin D.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Charlton: Mbick M.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Muscle Injury)
Clarke M.
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Charlton: 0.75% Derby: 0.7%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Charlton
9
3
4
2
8:11
-3
13
23
Derby
9
1
3
5
8:15
-7
6
Last Results with these Odds
Charlton Athletic - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.73%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
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Mannion W. (G) 
McNamara D. 
Koumetio B. 
Bell A. 
Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 
Langas S. 
Forsyth C. 
Fraulo O. 
Mesik I. 
Sichenje C. 
Bilbija F. 
Nyambe R. 
Jones N. 
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