Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior)

Referee: Vieira B. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Vilafranquense		Nacional

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	3.75
	1.87	3.2	3.75
	1.81	3.55	3.8
	1.93	3.6	4.18
	1.85	3.2	3.9
	1.86	3.45	4.05
	1.88	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.84)	3.36 ↑ (3.36)	3.88 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilafranquense
49.2%

Draw
27.2%

Nacional
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.4%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

26.7%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Vilafranquense - Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 15).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vilafranquense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilafranquense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
19.03.23	Penafiel - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Vilafranquense - Farense	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Benfica B - Vilafranquense	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Vilafranquense - Porto B	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Feirense - Vilafranquense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTWLW
- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
18.03.23	Nacional - Moreirense	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Trofense - Nacional	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Nacional - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	BSAD - Nacional	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Nacional - Leixões	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
19.10.22	Nacional - Vilafranquense	1:1
22.01.22	Vilafranquense - Nacional	4:3
15.08.21	Nacional - Vilafranquense	4:0
15.02.20	Nacional - Vilafranquense	5:1
31.08.19	Vilafranquense - Nacional	1:2

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