Match Info

Date: 22 February 2022, Tuesday


	Chelsea		Lille

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	10
	1.3	5.25	11
	1.32	5.4	12
	1.28	5.6	11
	1.3	5.45	13.51
	1.29	5	12
	1.32	5.5	11.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)	5.39 ↑ (5.17)	11.61 ↑ (9.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
73.9%

Draw
17.8%

Lille
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

18.4%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.5%

16.4%

8.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelsea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.4%	10.3%	9.2%

Chelsea - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (148 of 184 users predict this - 80.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.7% – 86.16%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Chelsea was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (90%), has a chance of semis (47%), has a chance of final (23%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

Lille was already of round of 16, has a small chance of qtrs (10%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has big quality 78, importance 55, match rating 67. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Chelsea in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Lille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chelsea is the unquestionable favorite.

In this match Chelsea is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Chelsea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English Premier League
19.02.22	Crystal Palace - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
12.02.22	Chelsea - Palmeiras	2:1 ET ✺
09.02.22	Al-Hilal - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.02.22	Chelsea - Plymouth Argyle	2:1 ET ✺
English Premier League
23.01.22	Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
18.02.22	Lille - Metz	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Montpellier - Lille	0:1 ✺
06.02.22	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:5 ✺
22.01.22	Brest - Lille	2:0 ✺
19.01.22	Lille - Lorient	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
10.12.19	Chelsea - Lille	2:1
02.10.19	Lille - Chelsea	1:2

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