Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 27

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chelsea		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.14	8.5	15
	1.16	8.8	19	Watch
	1.16	8.75	17
	1.17	8.83	16.52	Watch
	1.15	8.5	17
	1.16	9.3	18	Watch
	1.16	8.8	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.27)	8.78 ↑ (6.51)	17.36 ↑ (10.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
83.4%

Draw
11%

Southampton
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.8%

14.8%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea's performance.

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.8%	10.8%	18.5%

Chelsea - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 44 - 72.1%). S`hampton will win (votes: 11 - 18%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 60.8% – 83.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jorgensen F. (G) 27. Gusto M. 4. Adarabioyo T. 6. Colwill L. 3. Cucurella M. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 25. Caicedo M. 7. Neto P. 20. Palmer C. 19. Sancho J. 18. Nkunku C.	30. Ramsdale A. (C) 14. Bree J. 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 7. Aribo J. 16. Sugawara Y. 8. Smallbone W. 4. Downes F. 2. Walker-Peters K. 18. Fernandes M. 32. Onuachu P. 20. Sulemana K.
Substitutes
34. Acheampong J. 39. Amougou M. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 29. Fofana W. 32. George T. 24. James R. 76. Mheuka S. 62. Samuels-Smith I. 1. Sanchez R. (G)	19. Archer C. 33. Dibling T. 29. Gronbaek A. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 3. Manning R. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 5. Stephens J. 34. Welington 15. Wood N.
Coaches
Maresca E.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Nkunku C. ⚽, Adarabioyo T. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Neto P. ⚽, Nkunku C. (A),
44', 3 - 0, Colwill L. ⚽, Neto P. (A),
45+2', Onuachu P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bree J. ↓, Harwood-Bellis T. ↑,
59', Onuachu P. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
59', Walker-Peters K. ↓, Manning R. ↑,
67', Caicedo M. 🟨,
68', Sancho J. ↓, Dewsbury-Hall K. ↑,
68', Neto P. ↓, George T. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Cucurella M. ⚽, George T. (A),
83', Nkunku C. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
83', Caicedo M. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,
83', Downes F. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
89', Fernandez E. ↓, Mheuka S. ↑,
90+1', Manning R. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 3.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently Chelsea have a series of guest games.

Recently S`hampton have a series of home games.

In this match Chelsea is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Thigh Injury) Fofana W. (Muscle Injury) Guiu M. (Muscle Injury) Jackson N. (Thigh Injury) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury) Madueke N. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There will not play in S`hampton: Fraser R. (Injury) Harwood-Bellis T. (Ankle Injury) Lallana A. (Thigh Injury) Stewart R. (Thigh Injury) Ugochukwu L. (Loan agreement)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Chalobah T. (Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Bednarek J. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 44:22 (average 2.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Chelsea won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English Premier League
22.02.25	Aston Villa - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
03.02.25	Chelsea - West Ham United	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Manchester City - Chelsea	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Southampton FC
English Premier League
22.02.25	Southampton - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:4 ✺
15.02.25	Southampton - Bournemouth	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Southampton - Burnley	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
01.02.25	Ipswich Town - Southampton	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Southampton - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
04.12.24	Southampton - Chelsea	1:5
18.02.23	Chelsea - Southampton	0:1
30.08.22	Southampton - Chelsea	2:1
09.04.22	Southampton - Chelsea	0:6
English League Cup
26.10.21	Chelsea - Southampton	2:1 penalties
English Premier League
02.10.21	Chelsea - Southampton	3:1
20.02.21	Southampton - Chelsea	1:1

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