Match Info

League Two - Round 37

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)

Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)


	Cambridge United		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	1.56	4	5
	1.62	3.7	5.4
	1.44	4.31	7.91
	1.51	3.82	6.82	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5
	1.59	3.9	5.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.81)	3.91 ↑ (3.32)	5.91 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
60.2%

Draw
24%

Gillingham
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

26.7%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambridge United's performance.

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gillingham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambridge United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Cambridge United - Gillingham Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Cambridge (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cambridge United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eastwood J. (G) 26. Gibbons J. 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 2. Bennett L. 4. Ball D. (C) 17. Mpanzu P. 7. Brophy J. 11. Kaikai S. 14. Knight B. 9. Appere L.	1. Morris G. (G) 15. Akomeah T. 5. Smith A. 3. Clark M. (C) 11. Rowe A. 27. Khumbeni N. 24. Waldock H. 10. Williams J. 32. Cirino L. 12. Palmer-Houlden S. 38. Hale R.
Substitutes
25. Hughes B. (G) 20. Kouassi K. 19. Lavery S. 27. McConnell G. 3. Purrington B. 28. Raggett S. 8. Smith K.	39. Beckles O. 23. Dack B. 2. Hutton R. 8. Little A. 7. McCleary G. 25. Turner J. (G) 19. Vokes S.
Coaches
Harris N.	Ainsworth G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Ball D. ⚽, Appere L. (A),
28', Cirino L. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Appere L. ⚽, Mpanzu P. (A),
42', Smith A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Khumbeni N. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
50', 3 - 0, Cirino L. (Own goal),
54', 4 - 0, Kaikai S. ⚽, Ball D. (A),
61', Williams J. ↓, Little A. ↑,
61', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
61', Cirino L. ↓, Beckles O. ↑,
66', Brophy J. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
66', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
66', Kaikai S. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
73', Gibbons J. ↓, Raggett S. ↑,
76', Rowe A. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
80', Ball D. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
84', Dack B. 🟨,
90+1', 5 - 0, Lavery S. ⚽, Knight B. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 16).

Cambridge is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gillingham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cambridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cambridge is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cambridge: Hoddle G. (Inactive) Kouassi K. (Hamstring Injury) Mayor A. (Inactive) Morrison M. (Injury)

There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J. (Yellow Cards) Antwi C. (Injury) Masterson C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Gillingham: Beckles O. (Inactive) Dack B. (Inactive) Little A. (Inactive) McCleary G. (Inactive) Smith J. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Gillingham: 2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gillingham	10	4	4	2	15:10	5	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League Two
07.03.26	Accrington Stanley - Cambridge United	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Newport County - Cambridge United	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Cambridge United - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTWTW
- Gillingham FC
English League Two
10.03.26	Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons	1:5 ✺
07.03.26	Gillingham - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Barrow - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gillingham - Oldham Athletic	0:3 ✺
17.02.26	Chesterfield - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
26.12.25	Gillingham - Cambridge United	1:1
English League One
08.02.22	Gillingham - Cambridge United	1:0
28.09.21	Cambridge United - Gillingham	0:2
English EFL Trophy
08.12.20	Cambridge United - Gillingham	2:0

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