The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 33.6%
Draw 29.9%
Crewe Alexandra 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
27.5%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
27.7%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
Cheltenham Town - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Day J. (G) 14. Broom R. 24. Sherring S. 5. Wilson J. (C) 27. Tomkinson J. 11. Thomas J. 8. Young L. 26. Stevenson B. 23. Hutchinson I. 20. Bickerstaff J. 9. Davison J.
41. Lawlor I. (G) 2. Billington L. 18. Connolly J. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 3. Hutchinson R. 6. Sanders M. H. 8. Thomas C. 26. O'Reilly T. 17. Holicek M. 24. March J. 36. Tezgel E.
Substitutes
4. Ashfield H. 7. Deeming C. 41. Diallo M. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 16. Martin J. 10. Miller G. 21. Nurse G.
20. Agius C. 9. Bogle O. 1. Booth T. (G) 7. Lankester J. 25. Pond A. 23. Powell J. 29. Thibaut A.
Coaches
Cotterill S.
Bell L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Thomas C. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
51', Young L. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Bickerstaff J. ⚽, Young L. (A),
70', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
72', Tezgel E. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
75', Young L. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,
75', Thomas J. ↓, Deeming C. ↑,
76', Davison J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
79', Bickerstaff J. 🟨,
80', Lankester J. 🟨,
83', Sanders M. H. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
83', O'Reilly T. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
83', March J. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Connolly J. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
Cheltenham is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Crewe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cheltenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Cheltenham: King T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O.
(Inactive)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Crewe: 3.91% Cheltenham: 1.26%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Crewe
10
4
6
0
12:7
5
18
8
Cheltenham
10
4
3
3
16:16
0
15
Last Results with these Odds
Cheltenham Town - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.6%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
Crewe Alexandra - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 36.9%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Day J. (G) 
Broom R. 
Tomkinson J. 
Lawlor I. (G) 
Holicek M. 
Jude-Boyd A. 
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