Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 20

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)


	Cheltenham Town		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4
	1.87	3.5	3.9
	1.9	3.6	4	Watch
	1.88	3.63	4.13
	1.88	3.51	4.03	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.9
	1.87	3.6	3.96	Watch
	1.9	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.87)	3.54 ↓ (3.57)	3.99 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
49.9%

Draw
26.5%

Morecambe
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.2%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

26.8%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cheltenham Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Cheltenham Town - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Day J. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 18. Bakare I. 25. Stubbs S. 6. Bradbury T. 8. Young L. (C) 4. Kinsella L. 15. Thomas J. 16. Colwill J. 22. Archer E. 10. Miller G.	1. Burgoyne H. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. (C) 3. Lewis A. 4. White T. 28. Jones C. 18. Tollitt B. 8. Macadam H. 11. Slew J. 9. Hope H.
Substitutes
12. Bowman R. 14. Dulson L. 1. Evans O. (G) 5. Laing L. 27. Payne L. 34. Pett T. 9. Taylor M.	19. Dackers M. 17. Lewis P. 22. Millen R. 25. Moore S. (G) 24. Songo'o Y. 5. Taylor M. 23. Tutonda D.
Coaches
Flynn M.	Adams D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Thomas J. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Jude-Boyd A. ⚽, Bakare I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lewis A. ↓, Tutonda D. ↑,
62', Jones C. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
64', Bakare I. 🟨,
64', Macadam H. 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Miller G. ⚽,
75', Thomas J. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
75', Colwill J. ↓, Dulson L. ↑,
75', Miller G. ↓, Pett T. ↑,
84', Williams R. 🟨,
89', White T. ↓, Millen R. ↑,
90+3', Archer E. ↓, Bowman R. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Cheltenham is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29:19 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:8 (average 2.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Cheltenham Town - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
English League Two
07.12.24	Doncaster Rovers - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
03.12.24	Cheltenham Town - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Salford City - Cheltenham Town	2:0 ✺
English League Two
22.11.24	Cheltenham Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTTLW
- Morecambe
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Morecambe - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
English League Two
07.12.24	Morecambe - Grimsby Town	0:3 ✺
03.12.24	Tranmere Rovers - Morecambe	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Morecambe - Bradford City	1:0 ✺
English League Two
23.11.24	Swindon Town - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
07.01.23	Morecambe - Cheltenham Town	2:1
25.10.22	Cheltenham Town - Morecambe	1:0
12.03.22	Morecambe - Cheltenham Town	1:3
19.10.21	Cheltenham Town - Morecambe	3:1
English League Two
27.03.21	Morecambe - Cheltenham Town	1:0
12.09.20	Cheltenham Town - Morecambe	1:2
01.02.20	Cheltenham Town - Morecambe	2:1

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