Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)

Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Morecambe		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.57	Watch
	4.5	3.9	1.57
	5	4	1.6
	5.08	4.05	1.59
	5.09	3.97	1.62	Watch
	5	3.75	1.6
	4.93	4.05	1.58	Watch
	5	4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (4.83)	3.97 ↓ (3.98)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
18.8%

Draw
23.3%

Lincoln City
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

23.2%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

22.4%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Morecambe - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Moore S. (C) 22. Millen R. 14. Williams R. 5. Taylor M. 23. Tutonda D. 28. Jones C. 12. Harrack K. 18. Tollitt B. 8. Macadam H. 11. Slew J. 9. Hope H.	21. Pardington J. (G) 26. Gallagher O. 2. Darikwa T. (C) 23. Roughan S. 16. Jefferies D. 11. Hamilton E. 12. Ring E. 34. Draper F. 10. McKiernan J. J. 17. Duffy D. 9. Cadamarteri B.
Substitutes
20. Brown C. 1. Burgoyne H. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 3. Lewis A. 17. Lewis P. 24. Songo'o Y. 4. White T.	8. Bayliss T. 6. Erhahon E. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 15. O'Connor P. 29. Street R. 19. Walker T. 1. Wickens G. (G)
Coaches
Adams D.	Skubala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Cadamarteri B. ⚽, Duffy D. (A),
42', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Harrack K. ↓, White T. ↑,
64', Macadam H. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
67', Draper F. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
68', Duffy D. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
74', Jefferies D. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
74', Cadamarteri B. ↓, Street R. ↑,
76', Tollitt B. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
76', Slew J. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
90', Street R. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2.

Recent matches Morecambe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lincoln is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lincoln is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English League Two
07.12.24	Morecambe - Grimsby Town	0:3 ✺
03.12.24	Tranmere Rovers - Morecambe	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Morecambe - Bradford City	1:0 ✺
English League Two
23.11.24	Swindon Town - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
16.11.24	Morecambe - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LTWWL
- Lincoln City
English League One
07.12.24	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	0:0 ✺
03.12.24	Rotherham United - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Crawley Town - Lincoln City	3:4 ✺
English League One
26.11.24	Wrexham - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Lincoln City - Wycombe Wanderers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
04.11.23	Lincoln City - Morecambe	1:2
English League One
29.04.23	Morecambe - Lincoln City	3:2
English EFL Trophy
22.11.22	Lincoln City - Morecambe	2:1 penalties
English League One
19.11.22	Lincoln City - Morecambe	2:1
08.02.22	Lincoln City - Morecambe	2:1
28.09.21	Morecambe - Lincoln City	2:0
English League Two
23.02.19	Morecambe - Lincoln City	0:2

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