Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Cheltenham Town		Reading

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.9	Watch
	3.3	3.4	1.9
	3.75	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.31	3.81	1.96
	3.43	3.71	1.98	Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.91
	3.61	3.64	1.91	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.81)	3.55 ↑ (3.45)	1.92 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
26.2%

Draw
25.9%

Reading
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

26.5%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

25.5%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reading's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reading, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	4.2%	87.5%

Cheltenham Town - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Reading will win (votes: 21 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 74.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Day J. (G) 35. Liggett B. 18. Bakare I. 23. Shipley L. 30. Willcox F. 19. Sohna H. 34. Pett T. 14. Dulson L. 9. Taylor M. (C) 11. Norkett M. 12. Bowman R.	1. Button D. (C) 39. Ahmed A. 34. Holzman L. 38. Stickland M. 14. Rushesha T. 49. Osho E. 47. Spencer S. 37. Akande A. 44. Sackey T. 26. Tuma B. 50. Barough J.
Substitutes
16. Colwill J. 41. Diallo M. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 29. King T. 27. Payne L. 15. Thomas J. 38. Tustin H.	42. Beacroft B. 46. Borgnis J. 31. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 53. Duah P. 43. Okine-Peters J. 35. Senga-Ngoyi J. 40. Wellens C.
Coaches
Flynn M.	Selles R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Akande A. 🟨,
59', Sackey T. ↓, Wellens C. ↑,
64', Sohna H. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
64', Norkett M. ↓, Jude-Boyd A. ↑,
64', Taylor M. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
70', Colwill J. 🟨,
73', Ahmed A. ↓, Beacroft B. ↑,
73', Osho E. ↓, Okine-Peters J. ↑,
74', Barough J. ↓, Senga-Ngoyi J. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Pett T. ⚽,
90', Liggett B. 🟨,
90+4', Shipley L. 🟨,

Preview

Cheltenham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Reading is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Reading is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Rotherham United - Cheltenham Town	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.10.24	Cheltenham Town - West Ham United U21	3:1 ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Carlisle United - Cheltenham Town	0:1 ✺
22.10.24	Cheltenham Town - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Colchester United - Cheltenham Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.5 WWWTW
- Reading
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Reading - Fleetwood Town	2:0 ✺
English League One
29.10.24	Stockport County - Reading	4:1 ✺
26.10.24	Reading - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Exeter City - Reading	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Reading - Crawley Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.12.23	Cheltenham Town - Reading	2:2
15.08.23	Reading - Cheltenham Town	1:0

Upcoming Matches