Match Info

FNL - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk)

Referee: Khromey Y. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chelyabinsk		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.37	3.66
	2.11	3.38	3.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.32)	3.38 ↑ (3.06)	3.64 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
45.3%

Draw
28.4%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

31.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Chelyabinsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Tuseev I. (G) 21. Berdnikov A. 27. Kochiev K. (C) 91. Baytukov R. 66. Gudkov Y. 77. Samoilov D. 18. Kertanov K. 19. Komissarov T. 70. Levin G. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 17. N'Diaye B.	1. Golubev A. (C) 5. Musalov M. 17. Valiakhmetov E. 12. Shiryaev M. 24. Kakhidze A. 8. Kantaria G. 10. Kokoev D. 70. Bober I. 90. Shiltsov K. 88. Titov D. 9. Magomedov R.
Substitutes
33. Agaev A. 88. Eza W. 5. Gatin B. 34. Golikov D. A. (G) 11. Gongadze G. 7. Malyarov N. 72. Novikov O. (G) 14. Palkin V. 15. Pushkarev D. 44. Rusyaev I. 75. Zhamaletdinov T. 2. Zhirov A.	77. Gvenetadze A. 51. Kashintsev T. (G) 14. Mashukov I. 53. Moiseev K. 28. Platonov P. 6. Rodin D. 16. Shorkin M.
Coaches
Pilipchuk R.	Novikov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', N'Diaye B. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Komissarov T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Titov D. ↓, Gvenetadze A. ↑,
50', Samoilov D. 🟨,
56', Shiryaev M. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Gadzhimuradov R. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Gvenetadze A. ↓, Moiseev K. ↑,
75', N'Diaye B. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
78', Moiseev K. 🟨,
80', Magomedov R. ↓, Mashukov I. ↑,
80', Kokoev D. ↓, Rodin D. ↑,
82', Tuseev I. 🟨,
84', Levin G. ↓, Agaev A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelyabinsk won 1.

Chelyabinsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Neftekhimik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Neftekhimik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Chelyabinsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chelyabinsk won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelyabinsk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Neftekhimik: 0.78% Chelyabinsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Neftekhimik	12	4	0	8	7:15	-8	12
15	Chelyabinsk	12	3	3	6	13:19	-6	12

Last Results with these Odds

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 28.03%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL
26.04.26	Chelyabinsk - Ural	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Arsenal Tula - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chelyabinsk	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chelyabinsk - SKA Khabarovsk	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Chelyabinsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLTT
- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
26.04.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Spartak Kostroma	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	KAMAZ - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Rotor - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
30.08.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chelyabinsk	1:1
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
28.10.18	Chelyabinsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0
26.08.18	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chelyabinsk	2:1
10.04.18	Chelyabinsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0
25.08.17	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chelyabinsk	2:2
Russian Cup
24.08.16	Chelyabinsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
26.04.16	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chelyabinsk	1:1

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