The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chelyabinsk 42.5%
Draw 29.8%
Ufa 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
28.6%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
29.2%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelyabinsk's performance.
Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ufa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelyabinsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ufa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chelyabinsk - Ufa Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Chelyabinsk (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelyabinsk (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lomaev I. (G) 21. Berdnikov A. 15. Kochiev K. (C) 27. Gribakin I. 70. Levin G. 55. Borisov G. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 33. Pokotylo D. 6. Makarov S. 7. Safronov I. 29. Urvantsev M.
31. Belenov A. (C) 2. Cherov V. 17. Ozmanov D. 14. Agapov I. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 6. Tarba Z. 23. Akhatov D. 9. Lipovoy D. 8. Isaev S. 88. Ageyan M. 70. Ortiz D.
Substitutes
72. Bem A. 74. Kacorri L. 99. Kamenshchikov D. 18. Kertanov K. 50. Lystsov V. 11. Miroshnichenko G. 17. N'Diaye B. 31. Pereverzev M. (G) 24. Pridava N. 23. Rogochiy B. 77. Samoilov D. 93. Tuseev I. (G)
7. Davlitgereev A. 10. Gongadze G. 69. Khanenko I. 1. Kraykov T. (G) 19. Mayorov E. 20. Shipunov T.
Coaches
Pilipchuk R.
Tetradze O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Ortiz D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Makarov S. ↓, Kertanov K. ↑,
46', Safronov I. ↓, Bem A. ↑,
46', Lomaev I. ↓, Tuseev I. ↑,
66', Pokotylo D. ↓, Kamenshchikov D. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Borisov G. ⚽,
71', Akhatov D. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Gadzhimuradov R. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Gilyazetdinov A. 🟨,
86', Gongadze G. ↓, Shipunov T. ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th and 8th).
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Recently, Chelyabinsk has faced a series of away games on the road.
Chelyabinsk is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Chelyabinsk has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chelyabinsk against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.