Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 39

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: The Meadow (Chesham)


	Chesham United		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.33	3.2	2.95
	2.35	3.25	2.91
	2.34	3.21	3.07
	2.3	3.26	3.06
	2.33	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.17)	3.22 ↓ (3.4)	2.96 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
40%

Draw
28.7%

St Albans City
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Chesham United - St Albans City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Lewis R. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
88', Rasulo G. 🟥,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 16 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Chesham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches St Albans is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chesham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English National League South
11.03.25	Chesham United - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Worthing - Chesham United	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Chesham United - Truro City	1:4 ✺
25.02.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Hornchurch - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL
- St Albans City
English National League South
10.03.25	Chelmsford City - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	St Albans City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Chippenham Town - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	St Albans City - Aveley	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	St Albans City - Boreham Wood	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
24.08.24	St Albans City - Chesham United	1:2
English Southern Premier League
05.05.14	Chesham United - St Albans City	1:3
26.12.13	St Albans City - Chesham United	2:2
26.08.13	Chesham United - St Albans City	1:0

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