Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 38

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday


	Chelmsford City		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	2.27	3.35	2.95
	2.17	3.49	3.17
	2.19	3.43	3.14	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.88
	2.17	3.34	3.11
	2.27	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.09)	3.34 ↓ (3.38)	3.03 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
41.5%

Draw
27.8%

St Albans City
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.4%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Chelmsford City - St Albans City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Akanbi S. ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, Banton Z. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Crichlow K. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelmsford won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Chelmsford won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23:29 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Chelmsford won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:14 (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
08.03.25	Dorking Wanderers - Chelmsford City	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Chelmsford City - Worthing	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Boreham Wood - Chelmsford City	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Chelmsford City - Torquay United	3:2 ✺
15.02.25	Salisbury - Chelmsford City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLLWW
- St Albans City
English National League South
08.03.25	St Albans City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Chippenham Town - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	St Albans City - Aveley	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	St Albans City - Boreham Wood	1:3 ✺
17.02.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
05.11.24	St Albans City - Chelmsford City	1:1
16.12.23	St Albans City - Chelmsford City	2:1
23.09.23	Chelmsford City - St Albans City	0:2
02.05.23	Chelmsford City - St Albans City	0:1
10.12.22	St Albans City - Chelmsford City	3:0
06.08.22	Chelmsford City - St Albans City	1:1
15.04.22	St Albans City - Chelmsford City	0:3

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