The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chesterfield 44%
Draw 25.5%
Port Vale 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
22.3%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.3%
21.7%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
10%
0%
Chesterfield - Port Vale Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Port Vale (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Chesterfield (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Chesterfield (2.50) (votes: 84%) โญ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
Chesterfield will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 50%). Port Vale (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Boot R. (G) 26. Eccleston J. 15. Pond A. 22. Dunkley C. 46. Pearce T. 30. Lamptey R. 27. Dyer K. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. (C) 31. Randall J. 9. Bryden F.
20. Marosi M. (G) 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 25. Humphreys C. 5. Hall C. 4. Moon J. 38. Walters R. 7. Byers G. (C) 11. Hernandez O. 3. Headley J. 33. Hall G. 36. Watters M.
Substitutes
40. Cook C. 11. Duffy D. 28. Grigg W. 33. Hutton R. 18. Marsh L. 6. Simpson J. 42. Whitney A.
27. Asamoah M. 42. Bussell C. 37. Craig M. 2. Kyle John 12. McGowan A. 31. Moseley K. (G) 43. Orisakwe M.
Coaches
Cook P.
Brady J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Hernandez O. ⚽, Byers G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Watters M. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
46', Pond A. ↓, Whitney A. ↑,
65', Pearce T. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
65', Bryden F. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
65', Randall J. ↓, Marsh L. ↑,
66', Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↓, Kyle John ↑,
66', Byers G. ↓, Craig M. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Marsh L. ⚽, Dyer K. (A),
78', Hernandez O. ↓, Bussell C. ↑,
82', Naylor T. ↓, Cook C. ↑,
84', Craig M. ↓, McGowan A. ↑,
89', McGowan A. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Hall G. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Grigg W. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Asamoah M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Marsh L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Headley J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Mandeville L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Walters R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Cook C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Humphreys C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Duffy D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 1.
Chesterfield has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Port Vale has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Port Vale could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Chesterfield has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Chesterfield has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:14 (averaging 1.5:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chesterfield against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:6 goals (averaging 1.9:0.9 per game).
Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now
Chesterfield: 2.47% Port Vale: 0.99%
Last Results with these Odds
Chesterfield - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 47.01%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Port Vale - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.67%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
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Boot R. (G) 
Dunkley C. 
Bryden F. 
Marosi M. (G) 
Hernandez O. 
Duffy D. 
Grigg W. 
Brady J. 
