Match Info

USA: US Open Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday


	Chicago Fire II		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.8	2.05	Watch
	2.85	3.6	2
	2.9	3.75	2.15
	3.01	3.68	2.13
	3.01	3.68	2.14
	2.6	3.7	2.1
	2.99	3.8	2.14	Watch
	2.85	3.9	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.75)	3.74 ↑ (3.7)	2.1 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Fire II
32%

Draw
24.5%

Indy Eleven
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

24.7%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

23.8%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-3%)

Chicago Fire II - Indy Eleven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Los P. (G) 55. Glasgow O. 43. Shannon J. 42. Konincks D. 54. Rochester L. 45. Osorio H. 37. Casas J. 50. Koffi C. 48. Poreba D. 51. Tchetchao D. 44. Shokalook J.	1. Oettl Y. (G) 44. King M. 2. O'Brien J. 15. Arturo Diz 30. Ofeimu B. 20. Mines B. 22. Gibson T. 18. Collier E. 8. Blake J. 42. Martinez D. 16. Wootton L.
Substitutes
59. Blake R. 46. Calle J. 64. Cupps C. 67. Granda G. 58. Nesci M. 35. Oregel S. 80. Stechnij P. (G)	7. Henderlong K. 17. Ikoba T. 21. O'Brien E. 34. Schneider M. 3. Stanley A. 99. Sulte H. (G) 9. Williams A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽, Blake J. (A),
27', King M. ↓, Stanley A. ↑,
31', Ofeimu B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Casas J. ↓, Oregel S. ↑,
46', Tchetchao D. ↓, Granda G. ↑,
58', Mines B. ↓, Ikoba T. ↑,
58', Martinez D. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
58', Blake J. ↓, Schneider M. ↑,
67', Arturo Diz 🟨,
67', Schneider M. 🟨,
73', Glasgow O. 🟨,
78', Shokalook J. ↓, Nesci M. ↑,
80', Rochester L. 🟨,
85', Gibson T. 🟨,
88', O'Brien J. ↓, O'Brien E. ↑,

Preview

Chicago Fire II is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Indy is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Indy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Chicago Fire II have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Fire II
MLS Next Pro
14.04.24	New York Red Bulls 2 - Chicago Fire II	6:5 penalties ✺
10.04.24	Chicago Fire II - Crown Legacy	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
03.04.24	Chicago Fire II - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
MLS Next Pro
28.03.24	Chicago Fire II - Philadelphia Union II	2:1 penalties ✺
US Open Cup
20.03.24	Chicago Fire II - Chicago City	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWWWW
- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
13.04.24	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	2:4 ✺
06.04.24	Louisville City - Indy Eleven	5:3 ✺
30.03.24	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Indy Eleven - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Memphis 901 - Indy Eleven	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTW

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