Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 26

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadion Miejski Chojniczanka 1930 (Chojnice)

Referee: Rasmus S. (Pol)


	Chojniczanka Chojnice		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	2
	3.5	3.25	1.98
	3.5	3.25	1.95
	3.7	3.58	2.02
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.48	3.48	2.01	Watch
	3.5	3.45	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.88)	3.34 ↓ (3.46)	2 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chojniczanka Chojnice
26.4%

Draw
27.6%

Termalica Nieciecza
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.6%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

25.8%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chojniczanka Chojnice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termalica Nieciecza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	35.3%	58.8%

Chojniczanka Chojnice - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Chojniczanka will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Termalica will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Termalica: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chojniczanka won 2.

Chojniczanka is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Termalica is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Termalica will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Chojniczanka won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Chojniczanka won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 1
02.04.23	ŁKS Łódź - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Chrobry Głogów	3:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
18.03.23	Górnik Łęczna - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:0 ✺
10.03.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Stal Rzeszów - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTTLL
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
31.03.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Radomiak Radom	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.03.23	Stal Rzeszów - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Chrobry Głogów - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2 ✺
27.02.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
03.09.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:2
29.02.20	Termalica Nieciecza - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:2
16.08.19	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0
30.03.19	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1
19.09.18	Termalica Nieciecza - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1
Polish Cup
27.09.17	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1
Polish Division 1
10.05.15	Termalica Nieciecza - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:0

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