The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Choloma 33.3%
Draw 27.8%
Génesis PN 38.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32%
29.4%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
28.3%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Choloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Choloma - Génesis PN Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Pineda J. (G) 11. Alvarado 10. Canales J. 21. Capeluto J. 23. Castillo H. 9. Ferreira L. 29. Florez E. 14. Madrid C. 18. Quejada J. 13. Villatoro A. 19. Zamora O.
31. Balanta R. A. (G) 26. Arzu Zapata C. I. 11. Felix B. 27. Figueroa J. 44. Gamboa M. 15. Maldonado E. 33. Melendez D. 14. Mosquera J. 20. Palma J. 6. Sander R. 2. Vargas A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Madrid C. 🟨,
32', Maldonado E. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Quejada J. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Villatoro A. ⚽,
45+1', Gamboa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 3 - 0, Canales J. ⚽,
56', Guillen C. 🟨,
58', Sander R. 🟨,
59', 3 - 1, Arzu Zapata C. I. ⚽,
64', Sander R. ↓, Sabillon F. ↑,
64', Figueroa J. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
66', Villatoro A. ↓, Arias I. ↑,
67', Florez E. ↓, Barrios J. ↑,
74', Ferreira L. ↓, Alvarez K. ↑,
77', Barrios J. 🟨,
79', Melendez D. ↓, Martinez W. ↑,
82', Guillen C. 🟨,
84', Zamora O. ↓, Obed Mejia Machado G. ↑,
87', Arias I. 🟨,
89', Alvarez K. 🟨,
90+3', Solano M. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 8th).
In recent outings, Choloma has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Génesis is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Choloma has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 0.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Choloma against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Honduras
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Pineda J. (G) 
Capeluto J. 
Castillo H. 
Florez E. 
Quejada J. 
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