The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Choloma 17.6%
Draw 23.3%
Real España 59%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26%
26.2%
47.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.7%
25.9%
48.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Choloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Choloma's form might have worsened.
Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real España's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Choloma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real España, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Choloma - Real España Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Choloma will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Real España will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Pineda J. (G) 13. Aceituno M. 2. Barrios B. 50. Bermudez J. 9. Borja E. 15. Canales C. 23. Castillo H. 12. Chavez Y. 4. Cordova J. 5. Franco J. (C) 8. Rocha D.
22. Lopez L. (G) 54. Arana M. 5. Flores F. 6. Garcia D. (C) 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 28. Mejia C. 36. Osorto R. 21. Palacios D. 30. Sayago D. 44. Tatum Ferrera A. K. 18. Vuelto D.
Substitutes
33. Aguilar D. 11. Alvarado M. 7. Anaya L. 20. Arias I. 28. Barrios J. 10. Canales J. 27. Fernandez C. 22. Florez E. 25. Padilla G. 18. Quejada J. 26. Ramos G. 6. Suazo J.
16. Arzu E. 39. Cacho D. 4. Capeluto J. 27. Giron A. 11. Hernandez E. 23. Lopez R. (G) 58. Palacios Y. 34. Pike C. 49. Reyes H. (G) 7. Ritacco G. 26. Rodriguez J. 20. Romero C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Castillo H. 🟨,
19', Tatum Ferrera A. K. 🟨,
35', Canales C. ↓, Quejada J. ↑,
45+5', 0 - 1, Flores F. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Rocha D. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
46', Cordova J. ↓, Suazo J. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Chavez Y. ⚽,
58', Palacios D. 🟨,
58', Osorto R. 🟨,
59', Arana M. ↓, Arzu E. ↑,
60', Quejada J. 🟨,
65', Palacios D. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
65', Hernandez E. 🟨,
69', Osorto R. 🟥,
74', 1 - 2, Hernandez E. ⚽,
77', Bermudez J. ↓, Anaya L. ↑,
78', Tatum Ferrera A. K. 🟨,
81', Sayago D. ↓, Capeluto J. ↑,
82', Vuelto D. ↓, Pike C. ↑,
82', Franco J. ↓, Florez E. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Aceituno M. ⚽,
90', Mejia C. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 2, Barrios B. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Real España may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Real España is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Choloma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).
Including home match between the teams, Choloma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
Honduras
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Pineda J. (G) 
Borja E. 
Castillo H. 
Cordova J. 
Sayago D. 
Florez E. 
Capeluto J. 
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