Match Info

Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Chrobrego (Głogów)

Referee: Musial T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Chrobry Głogów		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.58	Watch
	4.8	3.5	1.66
	5.2	3.6	1.66	Watch
	5.61	3.54	1.65	Watch
	5	3.3	1.67
	5.34	3.66	1.64
	5.2	3.6	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↑ (4.87)	3.54 ↓ (3.64)	1.65 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chrobry Głogów
17.8%

Draw
26.1%

Arka Gdynia
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

25.5%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

25%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chrobry Głogów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chrobry Głogów - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Arka Gdynia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Lenarcik P. (G) 30. Bartlewicz S. 11. Lebedynski M. (C) 90. Lewandowski M. 23. Lewkot S. 18. Mazur M. 19. Mucha P. 9. Ozimek M. 96. Szarek P. 88. Tabis K. 29. Tupaj P.	77. Weglarz D. (G) 9. Gaprindashvili T. 94. Gojny D. (C) 23. Hermoso K. 39. Kocaba F. 11. Kocyla D. 29. Marcjanik M. 2. Navarro M. 16. Ratajczyk A. 8. Sidibe A. 7. Sobczak S.
Substitutes
74. Antczak J. 99. Arndt D. (G) 7. Bonecki S. 5. Bougaidis M. 24. Grzelak K. 77. Hanc D. 13. Kuzdra J. 35. Marcinkowski E. 45. Wojciechowski T.	18. Celestine J. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 35. Jakubczyk K. 99. Majchrzak J. 27. Oliveira J. 19. Rzuchowski M. 21. Skora K. 32. Stolc P. 14. Vitalucci H.
Coaches
Becella L.	Szwarga D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Lebedynski M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lebedynski M. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Lewandowski M. ⚽,
63', Kocyla D. ↓, Vitalucci H. ↑,
63', Ratajczyk A. ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Sobczak S. (Own goal),
70', Bartlewicz S. ↓, Antczak J. ↑,
75', Mucha P. ↓, Kuzdra J. ↑,
75', Lebedynski M. ↓, Bougaidis M. ↑,
81', Sidibe A. ↓, Majchrzak J. ↑,
87', Kocaba F. ↓, Rzuchowski M. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Rzuchowski M. ⚽,
90+1', Lewandowski M. ↓, Wojciechowski T. ↑,
90+5', Bougaidis M. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chrobry won 2.

Recent matches Chrobry is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arka is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Arka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arka is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Chrobry won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15:22 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Chrobry won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
09.04.25	Wisła Kraków - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Chrobry Głogów - Znicz Pruszków	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Polonia Warsaw - Chrobry Głogów	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
14.03.25	Chrobry Głogów - ŁKS Łódź	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWLWL
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
08.04.25	Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań	3:0 ✺
04.04.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Arka Gdynia - Miedź Legnica	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Górnik Łęczna - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ruch Chorzów - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
29.09.24	Arka Gdynia - Chrobry Głogów	2:0
05.04.24	Arka Gdynia - Chrobry Głogów	2:1
23.09.23	Chrobry Głogów - Arka Gdynia	1:0
21.04.23	Chrobry Głogów - Arka Gdynia	0:3
16.09.22	Arka Gdynia - Chrobry Głogów	3:4
26.05.22	Arka Gdynia - Chrobry Głogów	0:2
27.11.21	Chrobry Głogów - Arka Gdynia	1:0

Upcoming Matches