Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 38

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Cittadella		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.05
	2.18	3.25	3.3
	2.16	3.31	3.12	Watch
	2.15	3	2.9
	2.15	3.25	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.55)	3.2 ↑ (3.14)	3.08 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
42%

Draw
28.4%

Giana Erminio
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

28.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cittadella's performance.

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giana Erminio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cittadella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giana Erminio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cittadella - Giana Erminio Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Saro G. (G) 40. Gobbato M. 18. Pavan N. (C) 4. Angeli M. 19. D'Alessio F. 8. Amatucci F. 10. Casolari F. 7. Anastasia E. 14. Crialese C. 90. Bunino C. 91. Falcinelli D.	22. Mazza A. (G) 6. Ferri L. 26. Previtali N. 13. Colombara M. 90. Vitale V. 7. Pinto D. 14. Marotta M. 18. Cannistra P. 24. Ruffini L. 11. Galeandro A. 29. Samele L.
Substitutes
5. Barberis A. 99. Castelli D. 32. Ghezzi A. 77. Ignatov E. 67. Lotto N. (G) 17. Perretta G. 21. Rabbi S. 55. Redolfi A. 28. Rizza A. 2. Salvi A. 16. Vita A. 36. Zilio A.	33. Albertini A. 32. Azzolari E. 15. Ballabio M. 19. Duca T. 97. Gabbiani G. 37. Lischetti L. 8. Nelli J. 3. Nucifero T. 23. Occhipinti E. 4. Piazza A. 16. Rizzo A. 1. Zenti A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Angeli M. 🟨,
29', Galeandro A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Pinto D. ⚽,
53', Angeli M. ↓, Ghezzi A. ↑,
62', Anastasia E. ↓, Ignatov E. ↑,
62', Bunino C. ↓, Castelli D. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Galeandro A. ⚽,
67', Vitale V. ↓, Nucifero T. ↑,
81', Ferri L. ↓, Piazza A. ↑,
81', Samele L. ↓, Rizzo A. ↑,
83', Crialese C. ↓, Rizza A. ↑,
83', Pavan N. ↓, Perretta G. ↑,
90', Galeandro A. ↓, Albertini A. ↑,
90', Pinto D. ↓, Nelli J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 11).

Cittadella is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Including home match between the teams, Cittadella won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cittadella	9	8	0	1	16:4	12	24
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Giana Erminio - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.68%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
19.04.26	Novara - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Cittadella - Trento	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Brescia - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Cittadella - Lecco	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
19.04.26	Giana Erminio - Inter U23	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Triestina - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Giana Erminio - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Ospitaletto - Giana Erminio	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Giana Erminio - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.12.25	Giana Erminio - Cittadella	0:2
28.02.16	Giana Erminio - Cittadella	0:1
18.10.15	Cittadella - Giana Erminio	1:0

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