Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 36

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Nereo Rocco (Trieste)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Triestina		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.15	2.62	Watch
	3.66	3.08	2.15
	2.99	3.03	2.37	Watch
	3.3	2.88	2.1
	3.66	3.14	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.48)	3.06 ↓ (3.16)	2.27 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
28.8%

Draw
30.4%

Giana Erminio
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.1%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.9%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Triestina's form might have worsened.

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giana Erminio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Triestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giana Erminio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Triestina - Giana Erminio Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Triestina will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Giana Erminio will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Triestina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Triestina (5.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Triestina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Neri F. (G) 14. Anzolin M. (C) 5. Kosijer S. 20. Davis H. 16. Vicario J. 17. Jonsson K. 15. Voca I. 21. Tonetto M. 43. Gningue O. 6. Begheldo G. 9. Vertainen E.	1. Zenti A. (G) 13. Colombara M. 26. Previtali N. 6. Ferri L. 24. Ruffini L. 7. Pinto D. 14. Marotta M. 20. Renda F. 11. Galeandro A. 90. Vitale V. 97. Gabbiani G.
Substitutes
77. Ascione S. 19. Bagnoli E. 22. Borriello F. (G) 38. Caccioppoli F. 34. D'Aniello R. 39. Davanzo T. 27. Faggioli A. 31. Guillen Gamboa M. 13. Jamaal M. 29. Kljajic N. 61. Korreshi M. 32. Okolo D. 28. Pedicillo L. 23. Silvestri T.	33. Albertini A. 32. Azzolari E. 18. Cannistra P. 37. Lischetti L. 22. Mazza A. (G) 8. Nelli J. 3. Nucifero T. 23. Occhipinti E. 4. Piazza A. 16. Rizzo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Begheldo G. ⚽,
45+2', Gningue O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Kosijer S. 🟨,
59', Gningue O. ↓, Faggioli A. ↑,
62', Previtali N. 🟨,
66', Vertainen E. ↓, Okolo D. ↑,
66', Gabbiani G. ↓, Rizzo A. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Faggioli A. ⚽,
76', Tonetto M. ↓, Jamaal M. ↑,
78', Previtali N. ↓, Albertini A. ↑,
78', Pinto D. ↓, Nucifero T. ↑,
78', Ferri L. ↓, Cannistra P. ↑,
83', Renda F. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
86', Albertini A. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Triestina is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Triestina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
06.04.26	Pro Patria - Triestina	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Triestina - Virtus Verona	5:0 ✺
20.03.26	Trento - Triestina	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Triestina - Pro Vercelli	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Brescia - Triestina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TWTLT
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
06.04.26	Giana Erminio - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Ospitaletto - Giana Erminio	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Giana Erminio - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Giana Erminio - Vicenza Virtus	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.25	Giana Erminio - Triestina	2:1
22.03.25	Giana Erminio - Triestina	3:0
08.11.24	Triestina - Giana Erminio	0:1
11.05.24	Triestina - Giana Erminio	1:1
14.04.24	Giana Erminio - Triestina	0:1
09.12.23	Triestina - Giana Erminio	2:1
16.04.22	Giana Erminio - Triestina	1:1

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