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Modena vs Frosinone Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, April 18, 2026)

Match Info

Serie B - Round 35

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Modena		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.72	Watch
	2.81	3.55	2.57
	2.59	3.43	2.59	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.7
	2.48	3.35	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.09)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)	2.66 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
37.1%

Draw
27.6%

Frosinone
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Modena's form might have worsened.

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frosinone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Modena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frosinone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	50%	30%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Frosinone will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.31) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pezzolato M. (G) 77. Tonoli D. 25. Dellavalle A. 20. Nieling B. 2. Beyuku G. 17. Massolin Y. 18. Pyyhtia N. 8. Santoro S. (C) 98. Zanimacchia L. 10. Ambrosino G. 99. De Luca M.	22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono A. 30. Monterisi I. (C) 2. Cittadini G. 79. Bracaglia G. 14. Calo G. 16. Cichella M. 10. Gelli F. 7. Ghedjemis F. 9. Raimondo A. 17. Kvernadze G.
Substitutes
28. Adorni D. 80. Arnaboldi P. 78. Bagheria F. (G) 33. Cauz C. 24. Colpo E. 29. Cotali M. 90. Imputato A. 13. Laidani A. (G) 11. Mendes P. 19. Nador S. 71. Wiafe S.	99. Barcella K. 3. Calvani G. 40. Fini S. 80. Fiori A. 6. Gelli J. 92. Kone B. L. 12. Lolic E. (G) 32. Masciangelo E. 21. Oyono J. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 90. Vergani E. 28. Zilli M.
Coaches
Sottil A.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Bracaglia G. ↓, Oyono J. ↑,
29', De Luca M. 🟨,
35', Cittadini G. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Massolin Y. ⚽, Zanimacchia L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Wiafe S. ↑,
46', Cittadini G. ↓, Calvani G. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Ghedjemis F. ⚽, Kvernadze G. (A),
60', 1 - 2, Ghedjemis F. ⚽,
66', De Luca M. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
69', Calo G. ↓, Kone B. L. ↑,
69', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
74', Ghedjemis F. 🟨,
77', Kvernadze G. 🟨,
79', Beyuku G. ↓, Imputato A. ↑,
79', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
82', Calvani G. 🟨,
86', Massolin Y. ↓, Colpo E. ↑,
87', Gelli F. ↓, Gelli J. ↑,
88', Colpo E. 🟨,
90+2', Santoro S. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 0.

Recent performances by Modena have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Frosinone is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Frosinone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Modena: Chichizola L. (Injury) Defrel G. (Inactive) Gerli F. (Yellow Cards) Gliozzi E. (Injury) Sersanti A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Frosinone: Marchizza R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Frosinone: Corrado N. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

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Last Results with these Odds

Modena - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.89%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
14.04.26	Catanzaro - Modena	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Bari - Modena	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Modena - Mantova	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Modena - Spezia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLWW
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
10.04.26	Frosinone - Palermo	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Frosinone - Padova	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Frosinone	1:3 ✺
18.03.26	Frosinone - Bari	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Cesena - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.11.25	Frosinone - Modena	2:2
18.01.25	Modena - Frosinone	1:1
27.08.24	Frosinone - Modena	1:1
14.01.23	Frosinone - Modena	2:1
14.08.22	Modena - Frosinone	0:1
07.03.15	Modena - Frosinone	1:0
18.10.14	Frosinone - Modena	2:0

Modena - Frosinone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide