Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Clermont		Laval

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.8	Watch
	2.62	2.92	2.78
	2.68	2.92	2.87	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.8
	2.58	3.04	2.83	Watch
	2.62	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.44)	2.96 ↓ (3.01)	2.81 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
35.6%

Draw
31.4%

Laval
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

31.1%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

30.4%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Laval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laval than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	21.4%	7.1%

Clermont - Laval Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Laval will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Clermont: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Clermont (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Clermont (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Clermont (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Guivarch T. (G) 15. Konate C. O. 28. M'Bahia I. 21. Salmier Y. (C) 94. Boto K. 25. Gastien J. 2. Baallal A. 7. Camblan A. 44. Ackra A. 29. Fakili I. 77. Cantero E.	1. Hautbois M. (G) 7. Vargas T. 4. Ouaneh P. 3. Bianda W. 35. Samb L. 10. Sellouki M. 14. Mandouki C. (C) 25. Montet E. 20. Clavreul E. 34. Maddy E. 18. Tchokounte M.
Substitutes
13. Astic J. 8. Bellache Y. 5. Caufriez M. 93. Coulibaly I. 18. Diedhiou F. 47. Kone E. H. 1. N'Diaye M. (G)	21. Aradj Y. 40. Droyaux L. (G) 33. Houdayer M. 28. Maggiotti J. 22. Mupemba N. 2. Pellenard T. 6. Sanna S.
Coaches
Proment G.	Frapolli O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Fakili I. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Clavreul E. 🟨,
38', Ouaneh P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Samb L. ↓, Aradj Y. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Cantero E. ⚽,
62', Camblan A. ↓, Socka Bongue L. ↑,
66', Montet E. ↓, Sanna S. ↑,
66', Clavreul E. ↓, Mupemba N. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Baallal A. ⚽,
72', Ackra A. ↓, Astic J. ↑,
72', Cantero E. ↓, Diedhiou F. ↑,
74', Sellouki M. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
74', Maddy E. ↓, Pellenard T. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Guivarch T. (Own goal),
90+2', 4 - 1, Astic J. ⚽, Diedhiou F. (A),
90+4', Fakili I. ↓, Caufriez M. ↑,
90+4', Gastien J. ↓, Bellache Y. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Clermont: Ackra A. (Injury) Caufriez M. (Ankle Injury) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Knee Injury) Said A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Laval: Camara M. (International duty) Commaret M. (Muscle Injury) Samassa M. (International duty) Thomas T. (Hand Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Laval: 0.42% Clermont: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Clermont	7	0	6	1	4:6	-2	6
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8:14	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Nancy - Clermont	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Clermont - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Red Star - Clermont	2:2 ✺
Coupe De France
16.11.25	Blois Foot 41 - Clermont	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
07.11.25	Clermont - Amiens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTLW
- Stade Laval
Coupe De France
19.12.25	Guingamp - Laval	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Laval - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Reims - Laval	4:0 ✺
25.11.25	Bastia - Laval	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Laval - Troyes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
29.08.25	Laval - Clermont	0:0
18.01.25	Clermont - Laval	1:1
29.10.24	Laval - Clermont	1:2
French Coupe de la Ligue
14.08.18	Laval - Clermont	0:3
French Ligue 2
03.03.17	Clermont - Laval	1:1
30.09.16	Laval - Clermont	1:1
29.04.16	Laval - Clermont	1:1

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