Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Voyo
France	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4


	Clermont		Lens

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.98
	3.9	3.45	1.98	Watch
	4.09	3.55	2
	4.1	3.55	1.99
	3.7	3.5	1.91
	3.98	3.56	1.95	Watch
	4	3.5	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.65)	3.5 ↑ (3.45)	1.97 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
24.1%

Draw
27.3%

Lens
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

27.5%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

27.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.4%	27.6%	69%

Clermont - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). Lens will win (votes: 20 - 69%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 52.2% – 85.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 17. Pelmard A. 36. Seidu A. 5. Caufriez M. 15. Konate C. O. 7. Magnin Y. (C) 6. Keita H. 3. Neto Borges 10. Muhammed Cham 18. Rashani E. 95. Kyei G.	30. Samba B. (C) 24. Gradit J. 25. Khusanov A. 14. Medina F. 2. Aguilar R. 23. El Aynaoui N. 6. Abdul Samed S. 29. Frankowski P. 28. Thomasson A. 11. Fulgini A. 9. Wahi E.
Substitutes
11. Allevinah J. 9. Andric K. 24. Berkani S. 8. Boutobba B. 12. Gonalons M. 1. Ndiaye M. (G) 23. Nicholson S. 21. Ogier F. 2. Zeffane M.	10. Costa D. 18. Diouf A. 27. Guilavogui M. 21. Haidara M. 16. Leca J. (G) 20. Maouassa F. 26. Mendy N. 22. Said W. 7. Sotoca F.
Coaches
Gastien P.	Haise F.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Clermont won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lens will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lens: Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Cortes O. (Injury) Farinez W. (Knee Injury) Machado D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Lens: Haidara M. (Illness)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Clermont won 3 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Clermont won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 1
12.11.23	Clermont - Lorient	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Strasbourg - Clermont	0:0 ✺
27.10.23	Clermont - Nice	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Lyon - Clermont	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Clermont - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTLWT
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
12.11.23	Lens - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	PSV Eindhoven - Lens	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.11.23	Lorient - Lens	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Lens - Nantes	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.10.23	Lens - PSV Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
12.03.23	Clermont - Lens	0:4
12.11.22	Lens - Clermont	2:1
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Lens - Clermont	3:1
French Ligue 1
19.03.22	Lens - Clermont	3:1
01.12.21	Clermont - Lens	2:2
French Ligue 2
25.01.20	Lens - Clermont	1:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
27.08.19	Lens - Clermont	3:2 penalties

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