Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Netherlands	RTL 7
Portugal	Eleven Sports 6
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	PSV Eindhoven		Lens

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4.2
	1.83	3.75	4
	1.82	3.9	4.3	Watch
	1.84	3.95	4.41
	1.85	3.86	4.41
	1.75	3.9	4
	1.81	3.94	4.2
	1.8	4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)	3.88 ↓ (3.91)	4.23 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
52.8%

Draw
24.6%

Lens
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

24.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

24%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for PSV Eindhoven aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	9.8%	6.9%

PSV Eindhoven - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (85 of 102 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.1% – 90.56%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benitez W. (G) 3. Teze J. 5. Ramalho A. 18. Boscagli O. 8. Dest S. 20. Til G. 22. Schouten J. 23. Veerman J. 11. Bakayoko J. 9. de Jong L. (C) 27. Lozano H.	30. Samba B. (C) 24. Gradit J. 4. Danso K. 14. Medina F. 29. Frankowski P. 6. Abdul Samed S. 26. Mendy N. 3. Machado D. 7. Sotoca F. 9. Wahi E. 28. Thomasson A.
Substitutes
26. Babadi I. 16. Drommel J. (G) 14. Pepi R. 34. Saibari I. 2. Sambo S. 10. Tillman M. 30. van Aanholt P. 32. Vertessen Y. 24. Waterman B. (G)	18. Diouf A. 23. El Aynaoui N. 11. Fulgini A. 27. Guilavogui M. 21. Haidara M. 25. Khusanov A. 16. Leca J. (G) 20. Maouassa F. 40. Pandor Y. (G) 43. Pouilly T. 22. Said W.
Coaches
Bosz P.	Haise F.

Preview

PSV in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lens is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match PSV is a favorite.

There will not play in PSV: Bella-Kotchap A. (Injury) Lang N. (Injury) Mauro Junior (Knee Injury) Obispo A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lens: Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Cortes O. (Injury) Costa D. (Injury) Farinez W. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Saibari I. (Eye injury)

Our prediction for today's PSV to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 1 head-to-head matches PSV won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
04.11.23	Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven	0:6 ✺
29.10.23	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	5:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.10.23	Lens - PSV Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
21.10.23	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	3:1 ✺
08.10.23	Sparta Rotterdam - PSV Eindhoven	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTWW
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
04.11.23	Lorient - Lens	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Lens - Nantes	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.10.23	Lens - PSV Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.10.23	Le Havre - Lens	0:0 ✺
08.10.23	Lens - Lille	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
24.10.23	Lens - PSV Eindhoven	1:1

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