Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Urheilu
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Lens		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.7
	2.5	3.5	2.7
	2.5	3.55	2.82	Watch
	2.54	3.6	2.84
	2.55	3.53	2.84
	2.45	3.5	2.7
	2.56	3.48	2.73
	2.55	3.6	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.3)	3.53 ↓ (3.57)	2.75 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
38.1%

Draw
27.1%

PSV Eindhoven
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

26.6%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.2%	31.9%	31.9%

Lens - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 17 - 36.2%). PSV will win (votes: 15 - 31.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 31.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 22.5% – 49.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (C) 24. Gradit J. 4. Danso K. 14. Medina F. 29. Frankowski P. 26. Mendy N. 6. Abdul Samed S. 3. Machado D. 7. Sotoca F. 11. Fulgini A. 9. Wahi E.	1. Benitez W. (G) 3. Teze J. 5. Ramalho A. 18. Boscagli O. 8. Dest S. 10. Tillman M. 22. Schouten J. 23. Veerman J. 11. Bakayoko J. 9. de Jong L. (C) 27. Lozano H.
Substitutes
2. Aguilar R. 10. Costa D. 18. Diouf A. 23. El Aynaoui N. 27. Guilavogui M. 21. Haidara M. 25. Khusanov A. 16. Leca J. (G) 20. Maouassa F. 40. Pandor Y. (G) 22. Said W. 28. Thomasson A.	26. Babadi I. 16. Drommel J. (G) 14. Pepi R. 34. Saibari I. 2. Sambo S. 20. Til G. 30. van Aanholt P. 32. Vertessen Y. 24. Waterman B. (G)
Coaches
Haise F.	Bosz P.

Preview

Lens is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

PSV is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

PSV could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently PSV have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Lens: Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Farinez W. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PSV: Bella-Kotchap A. (Injury) Lang N. (Injury) Mauro Junior (Knee Injury) Obispo A. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
20.10.23	Le Havre - Lens	0:0 ✺
08.10.23	Lens - Lille	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	Lens - Arsenal	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
29.09.23	Strasbourg - Lens	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Lens - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TTWWW
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
21.10.23	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	3:1 ✺
08.10.23	Sparta Rotterdam - PSV Eindhoven	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	PSV Eindhoven - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
30.09.23	PSV Eindhoven - Volendam	3:1 ✺
27.09.23	PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTWW

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