Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 33

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Lens		Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	7	Watch
	1.42	4.65	7.3	Watch
	1.45	5.1	7.31
	1.43	4.85	6.72	Watch
	1.4	4.6	6.5
	1.46	5.08	7.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.27)	4.84 ↓ (5.97)	7.04 ↓ (9.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
66.7%

Draw
19.7%

Nantes
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.6%

15.9%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lens's form might have worsened.

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.2%	12.2%	14.6%

Lens - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 30 - 73.2%). Nantes will win (votes: 6 - 14.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 59.6% – 86.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 2 - 50%). Nantes (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Lens (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Nantes (1.70) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Nantes (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 25. Ganiou I. 6. Baidoo S. 20. Sarr M. 19. Sima A. 5. Bulatovic A. 21. Haidara A. 14. Udol M. 38. Fofana R. 22. Said W. (C) 11. Edouard O.	1. Lopes A. (C) 6. Awaziem C. 26. Radakovic U. 3. Cozza N. 22. Acapandie M. 21. Kaba M. 28. Sissoko I. 8. Lepenant J. 24. Guilbert F. 10. Abline M. 37. Ganago I.
Substitutes
2. Aguilar R. 32. Antonio K. 26. Bermont A. 4. Celik N. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 27. Masuaku A. 41. Soares M. 7. Sotoca F. 18. Sylla F.	2. Ali Youssef 20. Cabella R. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 72. Doucoure S. 19. El Arabi Y. 11. Guirassy B. 66. Leroux L. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 17. Tabibou D.
Coaches
Sage P.	Halilhodzic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Sima A. 🟨,
36', Bulatovic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fofana R. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
59', Edouard O. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
65', Haidara A. ↓, Sylla F. ↑,
66', Radakovic U. ↓, Ali Youssef ↑,
75', Ali Youssef 🟨,
78', Said W. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,
79', Sima A. ↓, Soares M. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Soares M. ⚽, Bulatovic A. (A),
82', Ganago I. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
82', Kaba M. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
82', Abline M. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
87', Guilbert F. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Lens is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Lens won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lens: 1.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9:9	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
02.05.26	Nice - Lens	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Brest - Lens	3:3 ✺
Coupe De France
21.04.26	Lens - Toulouse	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.04.26	Lens - Toulouse	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Lille - Lens	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTWWL
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
02.05.26	Nantes - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Rennes - Nantes	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Nantes - Brest	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Auxerre - Nantes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
06.12.25	Nantes - Lens	1:2
23.02.25	Nantes - Lens	3:1
09.11.24	Lens - Nantes	3:2
03.02.24	Nantes - Lens	0:1
28.10.23	Lens - Nantes	4:0
Coupe De France
01.03.23	Nantes - Lens	2:1
French Ligue 1
19.02.23	Lens - Nantes	3:1

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