Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 33

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 2
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Austria	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	15:45	Caze TV
Bulgaria	21:45	Nova Sport
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	02:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	13:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	21:45	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:45	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 3
Israel	21:45	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	20:45	Ligue 1+
Kenya	21:45	Gotv
Mexico	12:45	FOX One
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV3
Romania	21:45	Voyo
Russia	21:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	20:45	SuperSport Variety 4
South Korea	03:45	Coupang Play
Suriname	15:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+
International	18:45	Onefootball


	Lens		Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	7	Watch
	1.42	4.65	7.3	Watch
	1.45	5.1	7.31
	1.43	4.85	6.72	Watch
	1.4	4.6	6.5
	1.46	5.08	7.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.27)	4.84 ↓ (5.97)	7.04 ↓ (9.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lens
66.7%

Draw
19.7%

Nantes
13.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

74.6%

15.9%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lens's form might have worsened.

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.2%	12.2%	14.6%

Lens - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 30 - 73.2%). Nantes will win (votes: 6 - 14.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 59.6% – 86.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 2 - 50%). Nantes (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Lens (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Nantes (1.70) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Nantes (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 25. Ganiou I. 6. Baidoo S. 20. Sarr M. 19. Sima A. 5. Bulatovic A. 21. Haidara A. 14. Udol M. 38. Fofana R. 22. Said W. (C) 11. Edouard O.	1. Lopes A. (C) 6. Awaziem C. 26. Radakovic U. 3. Cozza N. 22. Acapandie M. 21. Kaba M. 28. Sissoko I. 8. Lepenant J. 24. Guilbert F. 10. Abline M. 37. Ganago I.
Substitutes
2. Aguilar R. 32. Antonio K. 26. Bermont A. 4. Celik N. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 27. Masuaku A. 41. Soares M. 7. Sotoca F. 18. Sylla F.	2. Ali Youssef 20. Cabella R. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 72. Doucoure S. 19. El Arabi Y. 11. Guirassy B. 66. Leroux L. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 17. Tabibou D.
Coaches
Sage P.	Halilhodzic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Sima A. 🟨,
36', Bulatovic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fofana R. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
59', Edouard O. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
65', Haidara A. ↓, Sylla F. ↑,
66', Radakovic U. ↓, Ali Youssef ↑,
75', Ali Youssef 🟨,
78', Said W. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,
79', Sima A. ↓, Soares M. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Soares M. ⚽, Bulatovic A. (A),
82', Ganago I. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
82', Kaba M. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
82', Abline M. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
87', Guilbert F. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Lens is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Lens won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Lens	8	4	1	3	16:12	4	13

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lens: 2.21%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
02.05.26	Nice - Lens	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Brest - Lens	3:3 ✺
Coupe De France
21.04.26	Lens - Toulouse	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.04.26	Lens - Toulouse	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Lille - Lens	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTWWL
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
02.05.26	Nantes - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Rennes - Nantes	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Nantes - Brest	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Auxerre - Nantes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
06.12.25	Nantes - Lens	1:2
23.02.25	Nantes - Lens	3:1
09.11.24	Lens - Nantes	3:2
03.02.24	Nantes - Lens	0:1
28.10.23	Lens - Nantes	4:0
Coupe De France
01.03.23	Nantes - Lens	2:1
French Ligue 1
19.02.23	Lens - Nantes	3:1

Upcoming Matches