The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club América 62.7%
Draw 21.5%
St. Louis City 15.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
24.6%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
24%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club América's performance.
St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Louis City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club América that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Louis City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Club América - St. Louis City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Club América will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Malagon L. (G) 3. Reyes I. 14. Araujo N. 31. Lichnovsky I. 18. Calderon C. 6. dos Santos J. 8. Fidalgo A. 24. Dilrosun J. 10. Valdes D. 7. Rodriguez B. 21. Martin H.
1. Burki R. (G) 14. Totland T. 15. Yaro J. 22. Hiebert K. 99. Reid J. 8. Durkin C. 10. Lowen E. 29. Thorisson N. 36. Teuchert C. 17. Hartel M. 11. Becher S.
Substitutes
27. Aguirre R. 26. Borja C. 13. Cervantes A. 30. Cota R. (G) 197. Espinoza D. 12. Estrada J. (G) 19. Hernandez I. 29. Juarez R. 23. Lara E. 15. Rodriguez I. 28. Sanchez E. 20. Sanchez R.
3. Girdwood-Reich J. 38. Horn J. 85. Kijima H. 41. Klein J. 39. Lundt B. (G) 13. Markanich A. 31. Olivares C. (G) 19. Vassilev I. 20. Watts A. 40. Wentzel M.
Coaches
Jardine A.
Hackworth J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Rodriguez B. ⚽, Valdes D. (A),
32', Dilrosun J. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
35', Teuchert C. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
45+3', Valdes D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Vassilev I. ⚽, Lowen E. (A),
53', 1 - 2, Lowen E. (Pen),
71', dos Santos J. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
71', Calderon C. ↓, Borja C. ↑,
71', Martin H. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Valdes D. ⚽, Sanchez R. (A),
83', Thorisson N. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Rodriguez B. (Pen),
90', Valdes D. ↓, Juarez R. ↑,
90', Totland T. ↓, Klein J. ↑,
90+4', Malagon L. 🟨,
90+8', 4 - 2, Aguirre R. ⚽, Malagon L. (A),
Preview
América is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches St. Louis City is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
St. Louis City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match América is a favorite.
There will not play in América: Mere J.
(Knee Injury)
Our prediction for today's América to win the game is with odds 1.5.
Last 2 head-to-head matches América won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.
Including matches at home between the teams América won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.
Last Results with these Odds
Club América - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 49.81%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Malagon L. (G) 
Lichnovsky I. 
Fidalgo A. 
Dilrosun J. 
Rodriguez B. 
Burki R. (G) 
Totland T. 
Yaro J. 
Hiebert K. 
Lowen E. 
Thorisson N. 
Borja C. 
Sanchez R. 
Girdwood-Reich J. 
Kijima H. 
Jardine A. 
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