The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Antofagasta 43.4%
Draw 29%
Deportes La Serena 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
28%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
26.9%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Antofagasta's performance.
Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes La Serena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Antofagasta that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes La Serena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
30%
20%
Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes La Serena Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Antofagasta will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Antofagasta: 19% – 81%.
25. Cisternas J. P. (G) 23. Siegler F. 4. Tapia B. 6. Diaz C. (C) 28. Salvia D. 26. Hinojosa S. 21. Manzano F. 14. Campillay K. 32. Aros Malgarejo J. 17. Hurtado B. 9. Monreal J.
1. Lanzillotta F. (C) 21. Gutierrez B. 16. Gutierrez J. 33. Delgado R. 15. Contreras B. 4. Mac Allister F. 28. Orellana J. 29. Pinto M. 14. Chamorro F. 20. Velasquez M. 24. Diaz F.
Substitutes
19. Alvarez F. 27. Apaz I. 5. Astorga R. 24. Castro P. 20. Cuadra A. 3. Maluenda M. 10. Rojas D. 29. Vega M. 33. Zuniga L.
30. Carvajal A. 36. Contreras B. 25. Cordero D. 7. Oroz A. 18. Roco G. 17. Salazar Y. 19. Sandoval B. 31. Tapia J. (G) 35. Zepeda M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Gutierrez J. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Hurtado B. ⚽, Campillay K. (A),
21', 2 - 1, Monreal J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Contreras B. ↓, Sandoval B. ↑,
46', 3 - 1, Hurtado B. ⚽, Aros Malgarejo J. (A),
55', Orellana J. ↓, Cordero D. ↑,
57', 3 - 2, Sandoval B. ⚽,
64', Hinojosa S. ↓, Castro P. ↑,
64', Siegler F. ↓, Maluenda M. ↑,
65', Castro P. 🟨,
67', Mac Allister F. 🟨,
69', Aros Malgarejo J. 🟨,
75', Aros Malgarejo J. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
75', Monreal J. ↓, Vega M. ↑,
76', Velasquez M. ↓, Zepeda M. ↑,
77', 4 - 2, Hurtado B. ⚽,
80', Hurtado B. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
82', Rojas D. 🟨,
87', Pinto M. ↓, Roco G. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 1.
Antofagasta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportes La Serena is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportes La Serena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Antofagasta won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
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Cisternas J. P. (G) 
Hurtado B. 
Lanzillotta F. (C) 
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