Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)


	Colón		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.95
	2.3	3.4	3.1
	2.26	3.4	2.95
	2.38	3.49	3.06
	2.31	3.4	3	Watch
	2.24	3.35	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.27)	3.41 ↑ (3)	3.01 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
41.1%

Draw
27.6%

Defensa y Justicia
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	31.2%	25%

Colón - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colón: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Colón has the most likely position - 24 (21.31%), has project points - 31, has currently - 28, has not chance of win league.

Defensa y Justicia has the most likely position - 12 (24.87%), has project points - 37, has currently - 34, has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 34, very small importance 0, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colón won 2.

Recent matches Colón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Defensa y Justicia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Colón will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Colón: Farias F. (Injury) Meza E. (Injury) Novillo J. (Injury) Ojeda L. (Injury) Vega C. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Colón won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.10.22	Colón - Racing	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Platense - Colón	1:2 ✺
05.10.22	Colón - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
30.09.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Colón	2:4 ✺
26.09.22	Colón - Argentinos Juniors	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWL
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.10.22	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
10.10.22	Rosario Central - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
05.10.22	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	3:3 ✺
01.10.22	Platense - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Defensa y Justicia - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.11.21	Defensa y Justicia - Colón	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.11.20	Colón - Defensa y Justicia	2:0
01.11.20	Defensa y Justicia - Colón	0:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.02.20	Defensa y Justicia - Colón	0:0
08.12.18	Defensa y Justicia - Colón	3:0
24.09.17	Colón - Defensa y Justicia	3:1
02.10.16	Colón - Defensa y Justicia	1:0

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